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Conf = Dist-III Region = PA Lan-Leb Nickname = A Black Knights Coach = Dave OndrusekGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.5077057 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 326 H Ephrata PA Lan-Leb (12- 8, 88.0) 7- 8 327 H Elizabethtown PA Lan-Leb (13- 6, 90.3) 15-10 329 A Seneca Valley PA Div1-S2 ( 4-11, 86.6) 9- 6 330 A Mount Lebanon PA Div1-S1 (16- 5, 96.9) 8-13 402 A Penn Manor PA Lan-Leb (15- 6, 91.3) 6- 4 404 A Lancaster Cou Day PA Lan-Leb ( 1-14, 70.6) 16- 2 406 A Easton PA LehighV (13- 5, 89.7) 13-14 408 A Lancaster Mennonite PA Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 65.3) 13- 1 411 A Manheim Township PA Lan-Leb (21- 3, 99.9) 8- 9 416 H Conestoga Valley PA Lan-Leb ( 3-12, 75.8) 16- 3 418 H Southern Lehigh PA Indep ( 7-11, 78.3) 15- 7 420 H Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 ( 6-11, 84.5) 15- 9 422 H Cedar Crest PA Lan-Leb ( 7-11, 80.7) 16- 3 424 A Warwick PA Lan-Leb ( 8-11, 85.2) 14-10 426 A Lampeter-Strasburg PA Lan-Leb ( 9- 8, 83.6) 14- 3 429 A Carlisle PA Mid 1 (18- 4, 97.2) 6-11 430 H Garden Spot PA Lan-Leb ( 3-15, 74.0) 19- 1 502 H Cocalico PA Lan-Leb ( 4-12, 78.7) 17- 1 508 H Penn Manor PA Lan-Leb (15- 6, 91.3) 12- 4 510 N Manheim Township PA Lan-Leb (21- 3, 99.9) 7- 6 o 514 A Hershey PA Mid 1 (20- 4, 98.2) 11-12 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 H Ephrata 7- 8 -1 6 --- -7.78 327 H Elizabethtown 15-10 5 4 0.50 329 A Seneca Valley 9- 6 3 7 n/a 330 A Mount Lebanon 8-13 -5 -3 n/a 402 A Penn Manor 6- 4 2 2 -0.73 404 A Lancaster Cou Day 16- 2 14 23 0.00 406 A Easton 13-14 -1 4 n/a 408 A Lancaster Mennonite 13- 1 12 28 0.00 411 A Manheim Township 8- 9 -1 -5 ++ 4.90 416 H Conestoga Valley 16- 3 13 19 0.00 418 H Southern Lehigh 15- 7 8 16 n/a 420 H Cumberland Valley 15- 9 6 10 -- -4.00 422 H Cedar Crest 16- 3 13 14 0.00 424 A Warwick 14-10 4 8 -- -4.75 426 A Lampeter-Strasburg 14- 3 11 10 0.00 429 A Carlisle 6-11 -5 -3 -1.77 430 H Garden Spot 19- 1 18 20 0.00 502 H Cocalico 17- 1 16 16 0.00 508 H Penn Manor 12- 4 8 3 ++ 4.48 510 N Manheim Township 7- 6 o 1 -5 +++ 6.50 514 A Hershey 11-12 o -1 -4 + 3.23UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 H Ephrata 7- 8 -1 6 --- -7.78 329 A Seneca Valley 9- 6 3 7 -- 406 A Easton 13-14 -1 4 -- 420 H Cumberland Valley 15- 9 6 10 -- -4.00 424 A Warwick 14-10 4 8 -- -4.75 418 H Southern Lehigh 15- 7 8 16 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 N Manheim Township 7- 6 o 1 -5 +++ 6.50 411 A Manheim Township 8- 9 -1 -5 ++ 4.90 508 H Penn Manor 12- 4 8 3 ++ 4.48 514 A Hershey 11-12 o -1 -4 + 3.23/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.40 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 70.19 Local SOS Rank............. 12 Local RPI Rating......... 0.59 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 7.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7