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Region = DC WCAC Nickname = D Falcons Coach = Matt DurkinGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.4014435 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 312 H Landon DC IAC (13- 7, 88.6) 5-10 316 A St Marys Ryken DC WCAC (14- 6, 94.6) 7-12 319 H Mount St Joseph MD A MIAA (10-10, 88.1) 4- 7 322 H Walsh Jesuit OH 2 NoEast ( 7-10, 77.4) 16- 7 328 H St Johns DC DC WCAC (11- 8, 90.0) 8- 9 330 A Catonsville MD 43 South ( 4- 9, 77.8) 11- 7 402 A Georgetown Prep DC IAC (17- 6, 94.0) 7-13 405 H Sherwood MD 43 West ( 9- 6, 81.0) 18- 5 409 A Bullis DC IAC ( 9- 9, 86.4) 6-11 412 A Bishop Ireton DC WCAC ( 6-10, 80.1) 10- 2 413 H The Heights MD MILL-W (10- 9, 83.4) 11- 4 416 A Bishop O'Connell DC WCAC ( 9- 7, 87.8) 11- 4 420 H Paul VI DC WCAC (20- 4, 98.1) 2- 9 424 A Gonzaga DC WCAC (19- 2, 99.9) 6-19 430 H Bishop McNamara DC WCAC ( 5-11, 73.3) 14- 4 502 H DeMatha DC WCAC (11- 8, 91.5) 6- 3 507 A DeMatha DC WCAC (11- 8, 91.5) 3-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Landon 5-10 -5 0 n/a 316 A St Marys Ryken 7-12 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 319 H Mount St Joseph 4- 7 -3 0 n/a 322 H Walsh Jesuit 16- 7 9 11 n/a 328 H St Johns DC 8- 9 -1 0 -0.42 330 A Catonsville 11- 7 4 7 n/a 402 A Georgetown Prep 7-13 -6 -8 n/a 405 H Sherwood 18- 5 13 7 n/a 409 A Bullis 6-11 -5 -1 n/a 412 A Bishop Ireton 10- 2 8 4 + 3.85 413 H The Heights 11- 4 7 6 0.92 416 A Bishop O'Connell 11- 4 7 -3 +++ 10.50 420 H Paul VI 2- 9 -7 -8 1.66 424 A Gonzaga 6-19 -13 -15 0.00 430 H Bishop McNamara 14- 4 10 16 0.00 502 H DeMatha 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.99 507 A DeMatha 3-10 -7 -7 0.19UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Landon 5-10 -5 0 -- 319 H Mount St Joseph 4- 7 -3 0 - 330 A Catonsville 11- 7 4 7 - 409 A Bullis 6-11 -5 -1 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A Bishop O'Connell 11- 4 7 -3 +++ 10.50 316 A St Marys Ryken 7-12 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 502 H DeMatha 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.99 402 A Georgetown Prep 7-13 -6 -8 + 405 H Sherwood 18- 5 13 7 + 412 A Bishop Ireton 10- 2 8 4 + 3.85/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.86 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 72.04 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0