Falls Church                  2 -10


 
                                     Region = VA    Nationl          
   Nickname = A Jaguars              Coach  =   Carson Dye            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   82.6090164    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 9- 6, 89.1)     5-18   
 320 H South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 5- 8, 83.1)     7-17   
 403 H Stone Bridge           VA    Liberty (11- 4, 92.7)     4-17   
 405 H Herndon                VA    Concord ( 1-11, 74.2)     8-15   
 409 A Yorktown               VA    Nationl (12- 7, 88.9)     6-16   
 416 A Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 3-11, 67.2)    16- 0   
 418 H Edison                 VA    Nationl (16- 2, 93.3)     4-18   
 422 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 1-11, 69.1)    13- 8   
 424 A Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 5-12, 76.4)     8- 9   
 430 H Hayfield               VA    Nationl ( 5- 7, 79.0)    10-13   
 501 A Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl (10- 7, 82.8)     6-15   
 503 A Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl (10- 7, 82.8)     3-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A McLean                  5-18     -13   -17           0.00
   320 H South Lakes             7-17     -10    -9          -0.72
   403 H Stone Bridge            4-17     -13   -18           0.00
   405 H Herndon                 8-15      -7     0    ---   -6.60
   409 A Yorktown                6-16     -10   -17           0.00
   416 A Wakefield HS           16- 0      16     4    ++     5.34
   418 H Edison                  4-18     -14   -19           0.00
   422 A J.E.B. Stuart          13- 8       5     2    +      2.26
   424 A Mount Vernon            8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.56
   430 H Hayfield               10-13      -3    -5    +      2.21
   501 A Washington-Lee          6-15      -9   -10           1.00
   503 A Washington-Lee          3-13     -10   -10           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Herndon                 8-15      -7     0    ---   -6.60


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Wakefield HS           16- 0      16     4    ++     5.34
   422 A J.E.B. Stuart          13- 8       5     2    +      2.26
   424 A Mount Vernon            8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.56
   430 H Hayfield               10-13      -3    -5    +      2.21




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.82 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.21 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3


  
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