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Conf = SCIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Tigers Coach = Jeff LombardoGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.2135315 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 403 A New Fairfield CT M (15- 6, 89.9) 13- 6 408 H Amity Regional CT L ( 9- 8, 85.8) 10- 6 411 H North Haven CT M ( 8- 9, 83.2) 13- 7 413 H Glastonbury CT L (13- 7, 91.1) 14-11 416 H Xavier CT L (13- 6, 90.8) 9-10 418 A Guilford CT M (14- 6, 92.1) 5-10 420 A Simsbury CT L (17- 4, 92.2) 7-10 422 H Fairfield Prep CT L (18- 4, 99.9) 4- 9 427 A Stonington CT S (16- 5, 88.5) 9- 5 430 A Shelton CT L ( 5-11, 80.0) 13-12 501 A Cheshire HS CT L ( 8-10, 85.0) 15- 8 503 H Notre Dame-West Haven CT M ( 9- 8, 83.6) 11- 8 506 A Branford CT M ( 9- 9, 81.3) 15- 2 511 H East Lyme CT M (15- 5, 90.6) 8- 7 o 515 H Guilford CT M (14- 6, 92.1) 11-18 516 A Joel Barlow CT M (20- 2, 97.5) 4- 9 521 N Fairfield Prep CT L (18- 4, 99.9) 11-15 529 H Darien CT M (12- 8, 94.7) 7-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A New Fairfield 13- 6 7 -1 +++ 8.38 408 H Amity Regional 10- 6 4 5 -1.21 411 H North Haven 13- 7 6 7 -1.86 413 H Glastonbury 14-11 3 0 + 3.02 416 H Xavier 9-10 -1 0 -1.22 418 A Guilford 5-10 -5 -3 -1.44 420 A Simsbury 7-10 -3 -3 0.72 422 H Fairfield Prep 4- 9 -5 -8 + 3.84 427 A Stonington 9- 5 4 0 + 3.98 430 A Shelton 13-12 1 8 --- -7.54 501 A Cheshire HS 15- 8 7 3 + 3.52 503 H Notre Dame-West Haven 11- 8 3 7 -- -4.42 506 A Branford 15- 2 13 7 + 2.75 511 H East Lyme 8- 7 o 1 0 0.57 515 H Guilford 11-18 -7 -1 -- -5.98 516 A Joel Barlow 4- 9 -5 -8 + 3.97 521 N Fairfield Prep 11-15 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 529 H Darien 7-11 -4 -3 -0.38UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 A Shelton 13-12 1 8 --- -7.54 503 H Notre Dame-West Haven 11- 8 3 7 -- -4.42 515 H Guilford 11-18 -7 -1 -- -5.98OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A New Fairfield 13- 6 7 -1 +++ 8.38 521 N Fairfield Prep 11-15 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 413 H Glastonbury 14-11 3 0 + 3.02 422 H Fairfield Prep 4- 9 -5 -8 + 3.84 427 A Stonington 9- 5 4 0 + 3.98 501 A Cheshire HS 15- 8 7 3 + 3.52 506 A Branford 15- 2 13 7 + 2.75 516 A Joel Barlow 4- 9 -5 -8 + 3.97/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.79 Local Power Rank........... 18 Local SOS Rating......... 77.24 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 26 Local Quality Win Rating. 5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 16 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3