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Conf = Dist-III Region = PA Lan-Leb Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Austin HayesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.9179764 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 322 H Bishop McDevitt PA Mid 1 ( 7-10, 82.9) 13-11 326 H Manheim Township PA Lan-Leb (21- 3, 99.9) 4-14 327 H Garden Spot PA Lan-Leb ( 3-15, 74.0) 10- 5 328 H Lower Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 4-12, 81.1) 6-12 401 A Mechanicsburg PA Mid 1 ( 3-13, 76.3) 10- 9 403 A Cocalico PA Lan-Leb ( 4-12, 78.7) 8- 6 404 A Lancaster Mennonite PA Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 65.3) 16- 1 408 H Penn Manor PA Lan-Leb (15- 6, 91.3) 6-17 411 H Lampeter-Strasburg PA Lan-Leb ( 9- 8, 83.6) 9-11 413 H Trinity HS PA Mid 1 (12- 6, 90.7) 6-13 416 A Lancaster Cou Day PA Lan-Leb ( 1-14, 70.6) 10- 6 418 H Elizabethtown PA Lan-Leb (13- 6, 90.3) 4-11 419 A Palmyra PA Mid 1 (11- 7, 88.6) 4-16 422 A Hempfield PA Lan-Leb (15- 6, 94.4) 3-16 424 H Ephrata PA Lan-Leb (12- 8, 88.0) 4-10 427 A Central Dauphin PA Mid 1 (13- 5, 92.3) 6-12 501 A Warwick PA Lan-Leb ( 8-11, 85.2) 1-10 502 A Conestoga Valley PA Lan-Leb ( 3-12, 75.8) 17- 3PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Bishop McDevitt 13-11 2 -1 + 3.78 326 H Manheim Township 4-14 -10 -18 0.00 327 H Garden Spot 10- 5 5 7 - -2.12 328 H Lower Dauphin 6-12 -6 0 --- -6.01 401 A Mechanicsburg 10- 9 1 4 - -3.04 403 A Cocalico 8- 6 2 1 0.38 404 A Lancaster Mennonite 16- 1 15 15 0.00 408 H Penn Manor 6-17 -11 -10 0.00 411 H Lampeter-Strasburg 9-11 -2 -2 0.48 413 H Trinity HS 6-13 -7 -9 + 2.53 416 A Lancaster Cou Day 10- 6 4 9 -- -5.73 418 H Elizabethtown 4-11 -7 -9 + 2.16 419 A Palmyra 4-16 -12 -8 -1.78 422 A Hempfield 3-16 -13 -14 0.00 424 H Ephrata 4-10 -6 -6 0.87 427 A Central Dauphin 6-12 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 501 A Warwick 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.10 502 A Conestoga Valley 17- 3 14 4 ++ 5.42UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Lower Dauphin 6-12 -6 0 --- -6.01 416 A Lancaster Cou Day 10- 6 4 9 -- -5.73 501 A Warwick 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.10 327 H Garden Spot 10- 5 5 7 - -2.12 401 A Mechanicsburg 10- 9 1 4 - -3.04OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 A Central Dauphin 6-12 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 502 A Conestoga Valley 17- 3 14 4 ++ 5.42 322 H Bishop McDevitt 13-11 2 -1 + 3.78 413 H Trinity HS 6-13 -7 -9 + 2.53 418 H Elizabethtown 4-11 -7 -9 + 2.16/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.74 Local Power Rank........... 36 Local SOS Rating......... 65.68 Local SOS Rank............. 32 Local RPI Rating......... 0.45 Local RPI Rank............. 38 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 14 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 33 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3