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Region = NC Conf-05 Nickname = C Jaguars Coach = Ron MitchellGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.5950317 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 301 A Panther Creek NC Conf-02 ( 4-13, 82.5) 1-10 302 H Wilmington Ashley NC Conf-01 ( 8- 8, 82.9) 3-12 307 A Cary Academy NC NCISAA (10- 8, 85.9) 1-13 308 A Hillsborough Orange NC Conf-05 ( 1-13, 68.6) 9- 5 313 A Roxboro Community Sch NC Conf-04 ( 6- 8, 75.2) 7- 8 o 315 H Cedar Ridge NC Conf-05 ( 8- 8, 82.4) 6- 7 319 A East Chapel Hill NC Conf-05 (16- 3, 93.9) 2-12 321 H Durham Riverside NC Conf-04 (11- 7, 85.6) 3-15 322 H Chapel Hill NC Conf-05 (12- 5, 90.5) 3-16 408 H Roxboro Community Sch NC Conf-04 ( 6- 8, 75.2) 7- 3 409 A Northwood NC Conf-05 ( 3-13, 70.7) 15- 7 412 H Hillsborough Orange NC Conf-05 ( 1-13, 68.6) 12- 4 416 H East Chapel Hill NC Conf-05 (16- 3, 93.9) 2-17 418 H Northwood NC Conf-05 ( 3-13, 70.7) 13- 4 423 A Cedar Ridge NC Conf-05 ( 8- 8, 82.4) 9- 8 426 A Chapel Hill NC Conf-05 (12- 5, 90.5) 1- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Panther Creek 1-10 -9 -6 - -2.95 302 H Wilmington Ashley 3-12 -9 -5 - -3.14 307 A Cary Academy 1-13 -12 -9 n/a 308 A Hillsborough Orange 9- 5 4 7 - -3.86 313 A Roxboro Community Sch 7- 8 o -1 1 - -2.31 315 H Cedar Ridge 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.41 319 A East Chapel Hill 2-12 -10 -17 0.00 321 H Durham Riverside 3-15 -12 -8 -1.42 322 H Chapel Hill 3-16 -13 -13 0.00 408 H Roxboro Community Sch 7- 3 4 1 + 2.17 409 A Northwood 15- 7 8 5 + 2.21 412 H Hillsborough Orange 12- 4 8 8 -0.38 416 H East Chapel Hill 2-17 -15 -16 0.00 418 H Northwood 13- 4 9 6 + 2.69 423 A Cedar Ridge 9- 8 1 -5 +++ 6.93 426 A Chapel Hill 1- 8 -7 -14 + 3.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Panther Creek 1-10 -9 -6 - -2.95 302 H Wilmington Ashley 3-12 -9 -5 - -3.14 308 A Hillsborough Orange 9- 5 4 7 - -3.86 313 A Roxboro Community Sch 7- 8 o -1 1 - -2.31OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Cedar Ridge 9- 8 1 -5 +++ 6.93 315 H Cedar Ridge 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.41 408 H Roxboro Community Sch 7- 3 4 1 + 2.17 409 A Northwood 15- 7 8 5 + 2.21 418 H Northwood 13- 4 9 6 + 2.69 426 A Chapel Hill 1- 8 -7 -14 + 3.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.74 Local Power Rank........... 56 Local SOS Rating......... 60.67 Local SOS Rank............. 53 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 49 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 17 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 56 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -12.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -11.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0