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Region = NE 1 West Nickname = A Bears Coach = Kevan BowlerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.9331818 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 330 A Northfield Mt Hermon NE 1 West ( 7-10, 87.8) 13- 9 403 H Deerfield NE 1 West (15- 1, 99.9) 6- 7 405 A Salisbury School NE 1 West ( 8- 6, 94.5) 3-10 406 A South Kent NE 2 West ( 8- 6, 88.3) 19- 7 410 A Avon Old Farms NE 1 West-FL (10- 7, 92.1) 7-11 413 H Loomis Chaffee NE 1 West-FL ( 2-12, 83.9) 8-11 417 H Hotchkiss NE 1 West-FL ( 5-10, 87.0) 10-12 420 H Kent School NE 1 West-FL ( 5- 9, 88.4) 4- 1 424 H Williston Northampton NE 2 West ( 5- 9, 89.3) 16- 8 427 A Trinity-Pawling NE 1 West-FL (13- 5, 97.5) 5- 8 429 H Gunnery School NE 2 West (13- 4, 96.4) 16- 4 503 A Taft School NE 1 West-FL (13- 5, 95.1) 8-10 504 H Choate NE 1 West-FL ( 9- 6, 92.3) 5- 4 508 H Westminster School NE 1 West-FL (10- 5, 93.2) 14-10 515 A Millbrook School NE 2 West ( 4-12, 88.3) 14- 3 517 A Canterbury NE 2 West (14- 3, 99.9) 8- 2 518 H Brunswick School NE 1 West (13- 3, 96.2) 6- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 A Northfield Mt Hermon 13- 9 4 4 -0.48 403 H Deerfield 6- 7 -1 -6 ++ 5.09 405 A Salisbury School 3-10 -7 -2 -- -4.79 406 A South Kent 19- 7 12 4 n/a 410 A Avon Old Farms 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.19 413 H Loomis Chaffee 8-11 -3 9 --- -12.86 417 H Hotchkiss 10-12 -2 6 --- -8.77 420 H Kent School 4- 1 3 5 - -2.38 424 H Williston Northampton 16- 8 8 4 n/a 427 A Trinity-Pawling 5- 8 -3 -5 + 2.29 429 H Gunnery School 16- 4 12 -2 n/a 503 A Taft School 8-10 -2 -2 0.88 504 H Choate 5- 4 1 1 -0.53 508 H Westminster School 14-10 4 0 + 3.42 515 A Millbrook School 14- 3 11 4 n/a 517 A Canterbury 8- 2 6 -7 n/a 518 H Brunswick School 6- 8 -2 -2 0.38UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 H Loomis Chaffee 8-11 -3 9 --- -12.86 417 H Hotchkiss 10-12 -2 6 --- -8.77 405 A Salisbury School 3-10 -7 -2 -- -4.79 410 A Avon Old Farms 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.19 420 H Kent School 4- 1 3 5 - -2.38OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 H Gunnery School 16- 4 12 -2 +++ 517 A Canterbury 8- 2 6 -7 +++ 403 H Deerfield 6- 7 -1 -6 ++ 5.09 406 A South Kent 19- 7 12 4 ++ 515 A Millbrook School 14- 3 11 4 ++ 424 H Williston Northampton 16- 8 8 4 + 427 A Trinity-Pawling 5- 8 -3 -5 + 2.29 508 H Westminster School 14-10 4 0 + 3.42/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.02 Local Power Rank........... 7 Local SOS Rating......... 82.36 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 9 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.0