Region = NY A  Sec 1            
   Nickname = Y Admirals             Coach  =   Don Connolly          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.1424561    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Lakeland/Panas         NY A  Sec 1   ( 8-11, 84.4)     8- 7   
 330 H Warwick Valley         NY A  Sec 9   (15- 5, 97.5)     8- 4   
 404 A Clarkstown South       NY A  Sec 1   ( 8- 9, 77.7)    15- 5   
 406 A John Jay-Cross River   NY B  Sec 1   (12- 7, 90.6)     3- 5   
 408 A Red Hook               NY C  Sec 9   ( 9-10, 87.8)    15- 1   
 411 H Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   ( 9- 9, 83.4)     9- 7   
 416 A Somers                 NY B  Sec 1   (10- 9, 87.2)     5- 6   
 418 H Harrison               NY B  Sec 1   ( 5-12, 78.8)     8- 7   
 423 A Hendrick Hudson        NY C  Sec 1   (13- 6, 84.4)     5- 7   
 425 H Brewster               NY B  Sec 1   (10- 8, 82.7)    11-10   
 502 A Wappingers Falls CSD   NY A  Sec 1   ( 9- 9, 77.3)     9- 1   
 504 H Suffern                NY A  Sec 1   ( 5-12, 76.0)    11- 2   
 509 A Putnam Valley          NY C  Sec 1   (10- 8, 83.1)     8- 7 2o
 510 A Irvington              NY C  Sec 1   (12- 6, 77.9)    12- 5   
 511 A New Fairfield          CT M          (15- 6, 89.9)     4- 6   
 513 A Yorktown               NY B  Sec 1   (17- 3, 99.9)     3-12   
 518 H Lakeland/Panas         NY A  Sec 1   ( 8-11, 84.4)     6- 7  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Lakeland/Panas          8- 7       1     3    -     -2.90
   330 H Warwick Valley          8- 4       4    -9          n/a  
   404 A Clarkstown South       15- 5      10     8           1.09
   406 A John Jay-Cross River    3- 5      -2    -3           1.99
   408 A Red Hook               15- 1      14    -1          n/a  
   411 H Mahopac                 9- 7       2     4    -     -2.96
   416 A Somers                  5- 6      -1     0          -0.47
   418 H Harrison                8- 7       1     9    ---   -8.51
   423 A Hendrick Hudson         5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.28
   425 H Brewster               11-10       1     5    --    -4.69
   502 A Wappingers Falls CSD    9- 1       8     9          -1.33
   504 H Suffern                11- 2       9    12          -1.00
   509 A Putnam Valley           8- 7 2o    1     3    -     -2.51
   510 A Irvington              12- 5       7     8          -1.74
   511 A New Fairfield           4- 6      -2    -3          n/a  
   513 A Yorktown                3-12      -9   -13           1.00
   518 H Lakeland/Panas          6- 7  o   -1     3    --    -4.90

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Harrison                8- 7       1     9    ---   -8.51
   423 A Hendrick Hudson         5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.28
   425 H Brewster               11-10       1     5    --    -4.69
   518 H Lakeland/Panas          6- 7  o   -1     3    --    -4.90
   328 H Lakeland/Panas          8- 7       1     3    -     -2.90
   411 H Mahopac                 9- 7       2     4    -     -2.96
   509 A Putnam Valley           8- 7 2o    1     3    -     -2.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Warwick Valley          8- 4       4    -9    +++        
   408 A Red Hook               15- 1      14    -1    +++        
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.49 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.15 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/