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Region = MD 21 West Nickname = D Bears Coach = Michael SkenaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.8615036 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 322 A Gov. Thomas Johnson MD 43 North ( 9- 7, 80.8) 4- 8 326 H Urbana MD 43 North ( 9- 7, 89.5) 4-13 329 A Catoctin MD 21 West ( 4- 9, 73.4) 7- 5 331 A Tuscarora MD 43 North ( 6- 9, 80.8) 10-13 407 A Broadneck MD 43 East (13- 2, 94.6) 2-17 407 N Glenelg HS MD 32 South (17- 3, 96.6) 4-16 410 H Linganore MD 43 North (10- 3, 92.0) 3-10 412 A Walkersville MD 32 West ( 9- 6, 86.2) 6-13 417 H Century MD 32 West (10- 8, 87.3) 6-12 419 A Brunswick MD 21 West (12- 4, 86.7) 6-13 421 A Smithsburg MD 21 West ( 8- 5, 81.9) 8- 4 424 H Frederick MD 32 West ( 6-10, 79.9) 8- 5 427 A Middletown MD 32 West (10- 5, 91.2) 4-11 501 H Winters Mill MD 32 West (16- 2, 95.8) 2-15 511 A Smithsburg MD 21 West ( 8- 5, 81.9) 8- 5 514 A Brunswick MD 21 West (12- 4, 86.7) 10- 9 516 A South Carroll MD 21 West (10- 9, 88.1) 4-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Gov. Thomas Johnson 4- 8 -4 -2 -1.04 326 H Urbana 4-13 -9 -10 1.00 329 A Catoctin 7- 5 2 4 - -2.47 331 A Tuscarora 10-13 -3 -2 -0.04 407 A Broadneck 2-17 -15 -16 0.00 407 N Glenelg HS 4-16 -12 -18 0.00 410 H Linganore 3-10 -7 -13 + 3.00 412 A Walkersville 6-13 -7 -8 1.36 417 H Century 6-12 -6 -8 + 2.53 419 A Brunswick 6-13 -7 -8 1.81 421 A Smithsburg 8- 4 4 -4 +++ 8.05 424 H Frederick 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.09 427 A Middletown 4-11 -7 -13 + 3.00 501 H Winters Mill 2-15 -13 -16 0.00 511 A Smithsburg 8- 5 3 -4 +++ 7.05 514 A Brunswick 10- 9 1 -8 +++ 9.81 516 A South Carroll 4-11 -7 -10 + 3.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 A Catoctin 7- 5 2 4 - -2.47OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 A Smithsburg 8- 4 4 -4 +++ 8.05 511 A Smithsburg 8- 5 3 -4 +++ 7.05 514 A Brunswick 10- 9 1 -8 +++ 9.81 424 H Frederick 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.09 410 H Linganore 3-10 -7 -13 + 3.00 417 H Century 6-12 -6 -8 + 2.53 427 A Middletown 4-11 -7 -13 + 3.00 516 A South Carroll 4-11 -7 -10 + 3.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.34 Local Power Rank........... 79 Local SOS Rating......... 70.60 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 66 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 102 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 121 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 5.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -12.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -13.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -11.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0