Norfolk Collegiate            6 - 7


 
                                     Region = VA 2  Tidewtr          
   Nickname = A Oaks                 Coach  =   Bryan Smith           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   94.6290588    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H First Flight           NC    Indep   (11- 4, 82.9)     8- 7   
 316 H Miami-Killian          FL    Dist-30 ( 8-10, 69.2)    10- 7   
 323 H Grassfield LC          VA    Beach   (12- 6, 84.1)    11- 7   
 327 H Benedictine            VA 1  Indep   ( 5-12, 80.7)     9- 5   
 330 A First Flight           NC    Indep   (11- 4, 82.9)     6- 8   
 403 A Walsingham Academy     VA 2  Tidewtr ( 0-12, 74.2)    17- 6   
 410 H Norfolk Academy        VA 1  Tidewtr (14- 4, 96.8)     3-15   
 419 A Hampton Roads Academy  VA 2  Tidewtr (15- 4, 99.9)     6-12   
 426 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad VA 2  Tidewtr ( 6-13, 89.9)     3- 2   
 430 H Bishop Sullivan        VA 1  Tidewtr ( 7- 8, 84.6)     5- 6   
 503 H Cape Henry Collegiate  VA 1  Tidewtr (10- 9, 91.1)     5-13   
 508 A Bishop Sullivan        VA 1  Tidewtr ( 7- 8, 84.6)     4- 5   
 515 A Highland School        VA 2  Delaney ( 9- 9, 92.2)     5-10   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H First Flight            8- 7       1     3          n/a  
   316 H Miami-Killian          10- 7       3    16          n/a  
   323 H Grassfield LC          11- 7       4     1          n/a  
   327 H Benedictine             9- 5       4     5          n/a  
   330 A First Flight            6- 8      -2     1          n/a  
   403 A Walsingham Academy     17- 6      11     9           0.40
   410 H Norfolk Academy         3-15     -12   -10          n/a  
   419 A Hampton Roads Academy   6-12      -6   -16    ++     4.00
   426 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad  3- 2       1    -6    +++    7.14
   430 H Bishop Sullivan         5- 6      -1     1          n/a  
   503 H Cape Henry Collegiate   5-13      -8    -4          n/a  
   508 A Bishop Sullivan         4- 5      -1     0          n/a  
   515 A Highland School         5-10      -5    -8    +      3.43


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Miami-Killian          10- 7       3    16    ---        
   315 H First Flight            8- 7       1     3    -          
   330 A First Flight            6- 8      -2     1    -          
   430 H Bishop Sullivan         5- 6      -1     1    -          
   503 H Cape Henry Collegiate   5-13      -8    -4    -          


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad  3- 2       1    -6    +++    7.14
   419 A Hampton Roads Academy   6-12      -6   -16    ++     4.00
   323 H Grassfield LC          11- 7       4     1    +          
   515 A Highland School         5-10      -5    -8    +      3.43




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.11 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.01 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7


  
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