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Conf = Dist-III Region = PA Lan-Leb Nickname = A Bears Coach = Jeremy AdamsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.8234634 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 323 A Manheim Township PA Lan-Leb (19- 7, 95.8) 7-15 327 A Hempfield PA Lan-Leb (16- 8, 93.9) 3-14 330 H Mechanicsburg PA Mid 1 ( 6-11, 81.4) 6- 4 402 A Warwick PA Lan-Leb (10- 8, 90.6) 4- 8 405 H Lewisburg PA CSNLL (15- 5, 82.3) 16- 4 409 H Garden Spot PA Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 71.6) 10- 1 411 H Lampeter-Strasburg PA Lan-Leb ( 4-11, 80.7) 7- 4 412 A Bishop McDevitt PA Mid 1 ( 1-14, 74.9) 16- 2 413 A Cocalico PA Lan-Leb ( 6-11, 83.5) 15- 9 417 H Cedar Crest PA Lan-Leb ( 4-14, 79.3) 14- 5 419 A Ephrata PA Lan-Leb (22- 3, 99.9) 5-12 421 H Trinity HS PA Mid 1 (11- 8, 91.0) 9-11 423 A Lancaster Cou Day PA Lan-Leb ( 8-10, 84.7) 10- 8 426 H Penn Manor PA Lan-Leb (13- 6, 92.1) 5-10 428 H Lower Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 6-10, 84.2) 12- 2 501 H Lancaster Mennonite PA Lan-Leb ( 0-15, 67.7) 15- 0 503 A Conestoga Valley PA Lan-Leb ( 7-10, 82.9) 14- 7 507 H West York PA York 2 (13- 7, 88.7) 11- 9 515 A Dallastown PA York 1 (20- 2, 95.4) 6-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 A Manheim Township 7-15 -8 -7 -0.97 327 A Hempfield 3-14 -11 -5 -- -4.82 330 H Mechanicsburg 6- 4 2 8 --- -7.00 402 A Warwick 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.21 405 H Lewisburg 16- 4 12 8 1.96 409 H Garden Spot 10- 1 9 18 -1.00 411 H Lampeter-Strasburg 7- 4 3 9 --- -6.66 412 A Bishop McDevitt 16- 2 14 13 0.00 413 A Cocalico 15- 9 6 5 0.73 417 H Cedar Crest 14- 5 9 11 -1.00 419 A Ephrata 5-12 -7 -11 + 3.00 421 H Trinity HS 9-11 -2 0 -1.33 423 A Lancaster Cou Day 10- 8 2 4 - -2.03 426 H Penn Manor 5-10 -5 -1 - -3.28 428 H Lower Dauphin 12- 2 10 6 + 3.85 501 H Lancaster Mennonite 15- 0 15 22 0.00 503 A Conestoga Valley 14- 7 7 5 1.13 507 H West York 11- 9 2 1 0.31 515 A Dallastown 6-14 -8 -6 -1.38UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Mechanicsburg 6- 4 2 8 --- -7.00 411 H Lampeter-Strasburg 7- 4 3 9 --- -6.66 327 A Hempfield 3-14 -11 -5 -- -4.82 402 A Warwick 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.21 423 A Lancaster Cou Day 10- 8 2 4 - -2.03 426 H Penn Manor 5-10 -5 -1 - -3.28OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 A Ephrata 5-12 -7 -11 + 3.00 428 H Lower Dauphin 12- 2 10 6 + 3.85/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.57 Local Power Rank........... 14 Local SOS Rating......... 68.39 Local SOS Rank............. 22 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 16 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 28 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 18 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3