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Conf = SWCIAC Region = CT S Nickname = T Mustangs Coach = Ted LutzGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 74.1284180 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Notre Dame-Fairfield CT S ( 8-10, 71.0) 7- 9 407 H Danbury CT L ( 3-13, 70.2) 4-13 409 A Bethel CT S (13- 7, 80.5) 6-17 412 A Bunnell-Stratford CT M ( 8- 9, 71.6) 2-10 413 A Watertown CT S ( 3-11, 61.0) 12- 4 417 H Stratford CT M ( 6-10, 67.8) 6- 7 419 A Pomperaug CT M (10-10, 76.8) 3-16 424 A New Milford CT L ( 7-11, 80.1) 1-20 427 A Housatonic Valley CT S ( 2-14, 58.0) 13- 7 430 H Stamford CT L ( 5-11, 76.3) 2-13 507 H Watertown CT S ( 3-11, 61.0) 13- 1 509 A Newtown CT L (15- 5, 88.7) 1-15 515 A Weston CT S (17- 5, 89.6) 3-17 516 A Lewis Mills-Burlington CT S ( 6-10, 64.7) 11- 6 519 A Old Saybrook CT S ( 6-10, 69.4) 12- 4 521 H Brookfield CT M ( 8- 9, 81.0) 5-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 7- 9 -2 -2 0.46 407 H Danbury 4-13 -9 -1 --- -7.29 409 A Bethel 6-17 -11 -13 0.00 412 A Bunnell-Stratford 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.95 413 A Watertown 12- 4 8 5 + 2.41 417 H Stratford 6- 7 -1 0 -1.66 419 A Pomperaug 3-16 -13 -10 0.00 424 A New Milford 1-20 -19 -13 0.00 427 A Housatonic Valley 13- 7 6 8 - -2.54 430 H Stamford 2-13 -11 -7 - -2.23 507 H Watertown 13- 1 12 7 + 2.48 509 A Newtown 1-15 -14 -22 0.00 515 A Weston 3-17 -14 -22 0.00 516 A Lewis Mills-Burlington 11- 6 5 1 + 3.08 519 A Old Saybrook 12- 4 8 -2 +++ 10.78 521 H Brookfield 5-14 -9 -12 1.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Danbury 4-13 -9 -1 --- -7.29 412 A Bunnell-Stratford 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.95 427 A Housatonic Valley 13- 7 6 8 - -2.54 430 H Stamford 2-13 -11 -7 - -2.23OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 519 A Old Saybrook 12- 4 8 -2 +++ 10.78 413 A Watertown 12- 4 8 5 + 2.41 507 H Watertown 13- 1 12 7 + 2.48 516 A Lewis Mills-Burlington 11- 6 5 1 + 3.08/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 67.54 Local Power Rank........... 68 Local SOS Rating......... 46.85 Local SOS Rank............. 64 Local RPI Rating......... 0.39 Local RPI Rank............. 69 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 37 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 62 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3