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Region = DC WCAC Nickname = D Falcons Coach = Matt DurkinGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.3064575 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 313 H Calverton MD MILL (17- 2, 95.3) 6- 9 317 H Georgetown Prep DC IAC (15- 6, 95.5) 4- 9 320 H Bullis DC IAC (14- 4, 93.4) 8-14 323 H St Marys Ryken DC WCAC (14- 5, 94.5) 8-14 326 A Sherwood MD 43 West (13- 3, 90.5) 9- 5 328 A Mount St Joseph MD A MIAA (12- 8, 91.2) 4-10 403 A St Anne's-Belfield VA 1 VIP (19- 4, 98.1) 9-13 410 H Bishop Ireton DC WCAC ( 5-15, 75.9) 16- 0 411 A St Johns DC DC WCAC (10- 9, 89.7) 8- 7 2o 416 A Landon DC IAC (13- 6, 94.1) 6-10 417 H Bishop O'Connell DC WCAC ( 4-15, 81.7) 11- 7 420 A Paul VI DC WCAC (12- 8, 91.3) 7- 8 424 H Gonzaga DC WCAC (20- 1, 99.9) 2-14 427 A DeMatha DC WCAC (11-10, 89.6) 8- 7 501 A Bishop McNamara DC WCAC ( 2-12, 66.8) 18- 2 503 H Urbana MD 43 North ( 9- 7, 89.5) 8- 4 508 A Paul VI DC WCAC (12- 8, 91.3) 7- 6 510 A Gonzaga DC WCAC (20- 1, 99.9) 4- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Calverton 6- 9 -3 -8 ++ 5.00 317 H Georgetown Prep 4- 9 -5 -7 n/a 320 H Bullis 8-14 -6 -5 n/a 323 H St Marys Ryken 8-14 -6 -7 1.16 326 A Sherwood 9- 5 4 -3 n/a 328 A Mount St Joseph 4-10 -6 -4 n/a 403 A St Anne's-Belfield 9-13 -4 -11 n/a 410 H Bishop Ireton 16- 0 16 11 0.00 411 A St Johns DC 8- 7 2o 1 -2 + 3.41 416 A Landon 6-10 -4 -7 n/a 417 H Bishop O'Connell 11- 7 4 5 -1.61 420 A Paul VI 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.01 424 H Gonzaga 2-14 -12 -12 0.00 427 A DeMatha 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.31 501 A Bishop McNamara 18- 2 16 20 0.00 503 H Urbana 8- 4 4 -1 n/a 508 A Paul VI 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 5.01 510 A Gonzaga 4- 9 -5 -12 ++ 5.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Sherwood 9- 5 4 -3 +++ 403 A St Anne's-Belfield 9-13 -4 -11 +++ 313 H Calverton 6- 9 -3 -8 ++ 5.00 503 H Urbana 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 508 A Paul VI 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 5.01 510 A Gonzaga 4- 9 -5 -12 ++ 5.00 317 H Georgetown Prep 4- 9 -5 -7 + 411 A St Johns DC 8- 7 2o 1 -2 + 3.41 416 A Landon 6-10 -4 -7 + 420 A Paul VI 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.01 427 A DeMatha 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.31
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.31 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 78.95 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.59 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 4.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0