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Conf = ECIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Scott HicksGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.0631714 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Waterford CT M (10- 7, 78.0) 6- 9 407 H Branford CT M ( 8- 9, 77.4) 11-16 410 H Woodstock Academy CT M ( 2-14, 61.5) 9- 7 412 A East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 85.9) 2-11 414 H RHAM CT M (11- 7, 77.7) 7- 8 417 H Norwich Free Academy CT L (14- 5, 81.8) 5- 7 419 A Bacon Academy CT S ( 7-10, 71.0) 11- 5 424 A Ledyard CT S (10- 9, 79.4) 5-10 426 H Wheeler-No Stonington CT S ( 0-14, 55.9) 15- 0 428 A Valley Regional CT S ( 6-10, 68.1) 4- 9 503 A Woodstock Academy CT M ( 2-14, 61.5) 14- 5 504 A Saint Bernard CT S ( 6-10, 67.6) 8- 9 508 H East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 85.9) 6-10 510 A Norwich Free Academy CT L (14- 5, 81.8) 3-16 517 H Morgan-Clinton CT S ( 6-10, 73.8) 8-18 519 H Bacon Academy CT S ( 7-10, 71.0) 13- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Waterford 6- 9 -3 -6 + 3.55 407 H Branford 11-16 -5 -5 0.96 410 H Woodstock Academy 9- 7 2 9 --- -7.91 412 A East Lyme 2-11 -9 -16 1.00 414 H RHAM 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.34 417 H Norwich Free Academy 5- 7 -2 -10 +++ 8.00 419 A Bacon Academy 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 7.54 424 A Ledyard 5-10 -5 -9 ++ 4.93 426 H Wheeler-No Stonington 15- 0 15 15 0.00 428 A Valley Regional 4- 9 -5 1 --- -6.41 503 A Woodstock Academy 14- 5 9 7 1.02 504 A Saint Bernard 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.91 508 H East Lyme 6-10 -4 -14 +++ 6.00 510 A Norwich Free Academy 3-16 -13 -12 0.00 517 H Morgan-Clinton 8-18 -10 -2 --- -7.63 519 H Bacon Academy 13- 9 4 0 + 3.61UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Woodstock Academy 9- 7 2 9 --- -7.91 428 A Valley Regional 4- 9 -5 1 --- -6.41 517 H Morgan-Clinton 8-18 -10 -2 --- -7.63 504 A Saint Bernard 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.91OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Norwich Free Academy 5- 7 -2 -10 +++ 8.00 419 A Bacon Academy 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 7.54 508 H East Lyme 6-10 -4 -14 +++ 6.00 414 H RHAM 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.34 424 A Ledyard 5-10 -5 -9 ++ 4.93 405 H Waterford 6- 9 -3 -6 + 3.55 519 H Bacon Academy 13- 9 4 0 + 3.61
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 70.45 Local Power Rank........... 62 Local SOS Rating......... 47.74 Local SOS Rank............. 59 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 59 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 29 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 70 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.3