Fairfax                       3 - 9


 
                                     Region = VA    Liberty          
   Nickname = A Rebels               Coach  =   Ryan Brown            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   89.5779953    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 1-12, 66.1)    20- 1   
 316 H Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl ( 7- 9, 81.0)     6- 7   
 320 A Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 8-10, 82.8)     7- 8   
 322 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 2-10, 74.1)    12- 7   
 326 A Marshall               VA    Liberty ( 1-14, 77.3)    15- 6   
 328 H South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 7- 6, 89.1)     8-12   
 416 H Langley                VA    Liberty (22- 2, 99.9)     2-10   
 420 A Thos Jefferson         VA    Liberty ( 8- 6, 88.2)     5- 6 3o
 426 A Madison                VA    Liberty (12- 6, 95.2)     3-12   
 430 H McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 5-10, 83.6)     7- 9   
 502 H Stone Bridge           VA    Liberty ( 8- 7, 92.6)     5-11   
 504 A Madison                VA    Liberty (12- 6, 95.2)     3- 9   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Wakefield HS           20- 1      19    16           0.00
   316 H Washington-Lee          6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.49
   320 A Mount Vernon            7- 8      -1     0          -0.67
   322 A J.E.B. Stuart          12- 7       5     8    -     -3.42
   326 A Marshall               15- 6       9     5    +      3.84
   328 H South Lakes             8-12      -4    -5           1.54
   416 H Langley                 2-10      -8   -16    +      2.00
   420 A Thos Jefferson          5- 6 3o   -1    -5    ++     4.72
   426 A Madison                 3-12      -9   -12           1.00
   430 H McLean                  7- 9      -2     0          -1.87
   502 H Stone Bridge            5-11      -6    -9    +      3.03
   504 A Madison                 3- 9      -6   -12    ++     4.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Washington-Lee          6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.49
   322 A J.E.B. Stuart          12- 7       5     8    -     -3.42


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Thos Jefferson          5- 6 3o   -1    -5    ++     4.72
   504 A Madison                 3- 9      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   326 A Marshall               15- 6       9     5    +      3.84
   416 H Langley                 2-10      -8   -16    +      2.00
   502 H Stone Bridge            5-11      -6    -9    +      3.03




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.00 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.99 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7


  
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