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Region = NE 1 West Nickname = A Bears Coach = Kevan BowlerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.6193542 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 315 N Episcopal HS DC IAC (12- 9, 89.8) 8- 9 o 331 A Northfield Mt Hermon NE 1 West ( 6-13, 87.0) 9- 6 404 A Deerfield NE 1 West (14- 2, 98.6) 6- 8 406 H Salisbury School NE 1 West (12- 1, 99.9) 7-11 407 H South Kent NE 2 West ( 8- 7, 89.7) 16- 2 411 H Avon Old Farms NE 1 West-FL (10- 5, 93.5) 5- 7 414 A Loomis Chaffee NE 1 West-FL ( 3-13, 83.9) 4- 9 418 A Hotchkiss NE 1 West-FL ( 8- 7, 93.0) 3-11 421 A Kent School NE 1 West-FL ( 1-15, 78.3) 13- 6 425 A Williston Northampton NE 2 West ( 7- 9, 89.4) 17- 6 428 H Trinity-Pawling NE 1 West-FL (11- 7, 93.2) 6-14 430 A Gunnery School NE 2 West ( 9- 6, 93.2) 11- 2 504 H Taft School NE 1 West-FL (10- 7, 93.1) 6-10 505 A Choate NE 1 West-FL ( 8- 7, 90.5) 3-13 509 A Westminster School NE 1 West-FL (10- 5, 93.5) 10- 7 511 A Suffield Academy NE 2 West ( 6- 9, 88.3) 17- 2 516 H Millbrook School NE 2 West (15- 4, 99.9) 10-11 518 H Canterbury NE 2 West (11- 6, 97.3) 16- 5 519 A Brunswick School NE 1 West (11- 7, 94.0) 8-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 N Episcopal HS 8- 9 o -1 0 n/a 331 A Northfield Mt Hermon 9- 6 3 2 0.84 404 A Deerfield 6- 8 -2 -9 +++ 7.46 406 H Salisbury School 7-11 -4 -8 ++ 4.99 407 H South Kent 16- 2 14 1 n/a 411 H Avon Old Farms 5- 7 -2 -2 0.61 414 A Loomis Chaffee 4- 9 -5 5 --- -10.21 418 A Hotchkiss 3-11 -8 -3 -- -4.15 421 A Kent School 13- 6 7 10 - -3.00 425 A Williston Northampton 17- 6 11 0 n/a 428 H Trinity-Pawling 6-14 -8 -2 -- -5.71 430 A Gunnery School 11- 2 9 -3 n/a 504 H Taft School 6-10 -4 -2 -1.84 505 A Choate 3-13 -10 -1 --- -8.63 509 A Westminster School 10- 7 3 -4 +++ 7.38 511 A Suffield Academy 17- 2 15 0 n/a 516 H Millbrook School 10-11 -1 -9 n/a 518 H Canterbury 16- 5 11 -6 n/a 519 A Brunswick School 8-11 -3 -4 1.91UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 A Loomis Chaffee 4- 9 -5 5 --- -10.21 505 A Choate 3-13 -10 -1 --- -8.63 418 A Hotchkiss 3-11 -8 -3 -- -4.15 428 H Trinity-Pawling 6-14 -8 -2 -- -5.71 421 A Kent School 13- 6 7 10 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Deerfield 6- 8 -2 -9 +++ 7.46 407 H South Kent 16- 2 14 1 +++ 425 A Williston Northampton 17- 6 11 0 +++ 430 A Gunnery School 11- 2 9 -3 +++ 509 A Westminster School 10- 7 3 -4 +++ 7.38 511 A Suffield Academy 17- 2 15 0 +++ 516 H Millbrook School 10-11 -1 -9 +++ 518 H Canterbury 16- 5 11 -6 +++ 406 H Salisbury School 7-11 -4 -8 ++ 4.99/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.02 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 81.45 Local SOS Rank............. 8 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 10 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.6 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3