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Conf = SWCIAC Region = CT S Nickname = T Falcons Coach = John DistlerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.5006561 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 A New Fairfield CT M (10-10, 83.8) 12- 3 407 A Notre Dame-Fairfield CT S ( 8-10, 71.0) 19- 0 410 H Masuk-Monroe CT M (11- 8, 81.5) 12- 3 413 A Hall-West Hartford CT L ( 9- 8, 79.3) 16- 2 419 H Newtown CT L (15- 5, 88.7) 17- 4 424 H Staples-Westport CT L (10- 9, 85.5) 18- 8 426 H New Milford CT L ( 7-11, 80.1) 14- 5 428 A Wantagh NY B Sec 8 (15- 4, 92.5) 11-13 501 A Weston CT S (17- 5, 89.6) 11- 1 503 A Brookfield CT M ( 8- 9, 81.0) 14- 5 505 A Xavier CT L (11- 8, 81.1) 17- 4 508 H Bethel CT S (13- 7, 80.5) 19- 5 511 A Simsbury CT L (18- 2, 92.3) 6- 7 516 H Mahopac NY A Sec 1 (11- 8, 94.1) 14- 5 517 A Pomperaug CT M (10-10, 76.8) 17- 3 519 H Guilford CT M (12- 8, 85.5) 13- 5 523 A New Fairfield CT M (10-10, 83.8) 14-12 525 N Weston CT S (17- 5, 89.6) 6- 8 602 H Ledyard CT S (10- 9, 79.4) 14- 2 606 N Weston CT S (17- 5, 89.6) 16- 4 609 N Somers CT S (15- 5, 81.6) 15- 2PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A New Fairfield 12- 3 9 11 -1.00 407 A Notre Dame-Fairfield 19- 0 19 24 0.00 410 H Masuk-Monroe 12- 3 9 15 -1.00 413 A Hall-West Hartford 16- 2 14 15 0.00 419 H Newtown 17- 4 13 8 1.80 424 H Staples-Westport 18- 8 10 11 0.00 426 H New Milford 14- 5 9 16 -1.00 428 A Wantagh 11-13 -2 2 n/a 501 A Weston 11- 1 10 5 ++ 4.55 503 A Brookfield 14- 5 9 13 -1.00 505 A Xavier 17- 4 13 13 0.00 508 H Bethel 19- 5 14 16 0.00 511 A Simsbury 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.74 516 H Mahopac 14- 5 9 3 n/a 517 A Pomperaug 17- 3 14 18 0.00 519 H Guilford 13- 5 8 11 - -2.00 523 A New Fairfield 14-12 2 11 --- -8.00 525 N Weston 6- 8 -2 6 --- -8.41 602 H Ledyard 14- 2 12 17 0.00 606 N Weston 16- 4 12 6 + 3.59 609 N Somers 15- 2 13 14 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 A New Fairfield 14-12 2 11 --- -8.00 525 N Weston 6- 8 -2 6 --- -8.41 428 A Wantagh 11-13 -2 2 -- 511 A Simsbury 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.74 519 H Guilford 13- 5 8 11 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Weston 11- 1 10 5 ++ 4.55 516 H Mahopac 14- 5 9 3 ++ 606 N Weston 16- 4 12 6 + 3.59/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 95.97 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 65.49 Local SOS Rank............. 12 Local RPI Rating......... 0.70 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 11.0 Championship Rank ....... 3 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 5 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 4.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 9.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 12.3