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Region = MD 21 West Nickname = D Falcons Coach = Sal PicataggiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.8655548 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 322 H Patterson Mill MD 21 South (12- 7, 87.6) 5- 3 329 A Tuscarora MD 32 West ( 5-10, 78.9) 9- 3 404 A Franklin MD 43 South (10- 6, 83.9) 16- 3 407 A Walkersville MD 32 West ( 8- 8, 83.3) 9- 4 415 H Urbana MD 43 North ( 8- 7, 88.4) 7-14 421 H Manchester Valley MD 21 West ( 6-10, 76.1) 15- 1 423 A Fallston MD 32 North (15- 3, 97.1) 7- 8 423 N St Johns DC DC WCAC (10-10, 85.6) 14- 8 426 H Westminster MD 43 North (13- 3, 97.1) 6- 5 428 A South Carroll MD 21 West (13- 3, 94.3) 9-10 430 A North Carroll MD 21 West ( 9- 6, 86.2) 13- 7 503 H Century MD 32 West ( 8-10, 84.7) 12- 6 507 A Liberty MD 21 West ( 3-12, 76.8) 19- 2 510 H Francis Scott Key MD 21 West ( 1-11, 73.8) 14- 1 514 H North Carroll MD 21 West ( 9- 6, 86.2) 9- 7 516 A Smithsburg MD 21 West (12- 3, 86.4) 16- 4 519 A Glenelg HS MD 21 West (19- 1, 97.5) 6- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Patterson Mill 5- 3 2 6 -- -4.81 329 A Tuscarora 9- 3 6 13 -- -4.00 404 A Franklin 16- 3 13 8 1.10 407 A Walkersville 9- 4 5 9 -- -4.52 415 H Urbana 7-14 -7 6 --- -13.05 421 H Manchester Valley 15- 1 14 18 0.00 423 A Fallston 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.27 423 N St Johns DC 14- 8 6 8 n/a 426 H Westminster 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.63 428 A South Carroll 9-10 -1 -1 0.43 430 A North Carroll 13- 7 6 6 -0.64 503 H Century 12- 6 6 9 - -3.75 507 A Liberty 19- 2 17 16 0.00 510 H Francis Scott Key 14- 1 13 20 0.00 514 H North Carroll 9- 7 2 8 --- -6.25 516 A Smithsburg 16- 4 12 6 + 3.55 519 A Glenelg HS 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.62UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Urbana 7-14 -7 6 --- -13.05 514 H North Carroll 9- 7 2 8 --- -6.25 322 H Patterson Mill 5- 3 2 6 -- -4.81 329 A Tuscarora 9- 3 6 13 -- -4.00 407 A Walkersville 9- 4 5 9 -- -4.52 423 N St Johns DC 14- 8 6 8 - 503 H Century 12- 6 6 9 - -3.75OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Fallston 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.27 426 H Westminster 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.63 516 A Smithsburg 16- 4 12 6 + 3.55 519 A Glenelg HS 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.62/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.65 Local Power Rank........... 9 Local SOS Rating......... 69.70 Local SOS Rank............. 14 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 15 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 11 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 18 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -0.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.3