Winchester Thurston           7 - 4


 
                                     Region = PA    Div2-S1          
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Chris Ortmann         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   83.2043762    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Chartiers Valley       PA    Div2-S1 (14- 5, 89.6)     3- 5   
 407 A Baldwin                PA    Div2-S1 (14- 4, 89.0)     7-10   
 409 A Wheeling Cent Cath     WV    WVSLA   ( 6-15, 80.6)     6- 2   
 414 A Seton LaSalle          PA    Div2-S1 ( 5-10, 73.9)    11- 4   
 429 H Quaker Valley          PA    Div2-S1 (11- 4, 84.0)     8-10   
 430 A Knoch                  PA    Indep   ( 3- 5, 72.0)     6- 2   
 502 A Trinity                PA    Div1-S1 ( 1-13, 69.1)    11- 4   
 505 A Latrobe                PA    Div2-S1 ( 1-12, 68.6)    12- 6   
 507 A Taylor Allderdice      PA    Div2-S2 ( 2-14, 68.4)    13- 3   
 509 H Canon-McMillan         PA    Div2-S1 ( 7-10, 74.0)    12- 2   
 512 A Greensburg Cath Cent   PA    Div2-S1 (15- 5, 90.6)     8-16   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Chartiers Valley        3- 5      -2    -4    +      2.80
   407 A Baldwin                 7-10      -3    -5    +      2.65
   409 A Wheeling Cent Cath      6- 2       4     2          n/a  
   414 A Seton LaSalle          11- 4       7     9    -     -2.48
   429 H Quaker Valley           8-10      -2     0    -     -2.80
   430 A Knoch                   6- 2       4    11    ---   -6.00
   502 A Trinity                11- 4       7    14    -     -3.00
   505 A Latrobe                12- 6       6    14    --    -4.00
   507 A Taylor Allderdice      13- 3      10    14           0.00
   509 H Canon-McMillan         12- 2      10    10           0.00
   512 A Greensburg Cath Cent    8-16      -8    -7          -0.80


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Knoch                   6- 2       4    11    ---   -6.00
   505 A Latrobe                12- 6       6    14    --    -4.00
   414 A Seton LaSalle          11- 4       7     9    -     -2.48
   429 H Quaker Valley           8-10      -2     0    -     -2.80
   502 A Trinity                11- 4       7    14    -     -3.00


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Chartiers Valley        3- 5      -2    -4    +      2.80
   407 A Baldwin                 7-10      -3    -5    +      2.65




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.07 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.19 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0


  
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