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Conf = CentMass Region = MA 2 Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Nate SkermontGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.0038223 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Algonquin MA 2 (20- 5, 99.9) 6-11 409 H Grafton MA 2 (20- 3, 98.5) 6-14 412 A Wachusett MA 2 (11-11, 92.5) 5- 9 414 H Marlborough MA 2 ( 2-18, 82.1) 14- 8 416 A Westborough MA 2 ( 9-10, 90.9) 8- 9 o 421 A Nipmuc Regional MA 2 (15- 4, 94.3) 10- 9 o 423 H Tantasqua Regional MA 2 ( 8-12, 84.2) 11- 2 426 A Nashoba Regional MA 2 (12- 9, 93.7) 6- 2 429 A North Middlesex MA 2 ( 4-14, 84.7) 13- 2 430 A St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 (16- 6, 99.7) 5-12 503 A Westborough MA 2 ( 9-10, 90.9) 4- 6 505 H Groton-Dunstable MA 2 (13- 7, 94.3) 7- 5 509 A Groton-Dunstable MA 2 (13- 7, 94.3) 2- 9 510 H Algonquin MA 2 (20- 5, 99.9) 3- 4 512 H Wachusett MA 2 (11-11, 92.5) 11- 6 515 A St Peter Marian MA 2 ( 4-12, 81.4) 9- 1 517 N Marlborough MA 2 ( 2-18, 82.1) 12- 2 519 N Nashoba Regional MA 2 (12- 9, 93.7) 8- 3 523 H Acton Boxborough MA 1 (15- 7, 89.4) 5-17 525 H North Middlesex MA 2 ( 4-14, 84.7) 8- 3 603 A Nashoba Regional MA 2 (12- 9, 93.7) 4- 6PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Algonquin 6-11 -5 -6 1.86 409 H Grafton 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.60 412 A Wachusett 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.55 414 H Marlborough 14- 8 6 10 -- -4.00 416 A Westborough 8- 9 o -1 2 - -3.10 421 A Nipmuc Regional 10- 9 o 1 -1 + 2.24 423 H Tantasqua Regional 11- 2 9 8 0.06 426 A Nashoba Regional 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.63 429 A North Middlesex 13- 2 11 8 1.62 430 A St Johns Shrewsbury 5-12 -7 -6 -0.32 503 A Westborough 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.10 505 H Groton-Dunstable 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.24 509 A Groton-Dunstable 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.71 510 H Algonquin 3- 4 -1 -6 ++ 5.80 512 H Wachusett 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.39 515 A St Peter Marian 9- 1 8 11 - -2.00 517 N Marlborough 12- 2 10 10 0.00 519 N Nashoba Regional 8- 3 5 0 ++ 5.61 523 H Acton Boxborough 5-17 -12 4 n/a 525 H North Middlesex 8- 3 5 8 - -3.43 603 A Nashoba Regional 4- 6 -2 0 -1.37UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 H Acton Boxborough 5-17 -12 4 --- 412 A Wachusett 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.55 414 H Marlborough 14- 8 6 10 -- -4.00 503 A Westborough 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.10 509 A Groton-Dunstable 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.71 409 H Grafton 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.60 416 A Westborough 8- 9 o -1 2 - -3.10 515 A St Peter Marian 9- 1 8 11 - -2.00 525 H North Middlesex 8- 3 5 8 - -3.43OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 A Nashoba Regional 6- 2 4 0 ++ 4.63 510 H Algonquin 3- 4 -1 -6 ++ 5.80 512 H Wachusett 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.39 519 N Nashoba Regional 8- 3 5 0 ++ 5.61 421 A Nipmuc Regional 10- 9 o 1 -1 + 2.24 505 H Groton-Dunstable 7- 5 2 -1 + 3.24/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.07 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 80.27 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0