South Lakes                   8 - 4


 
                                     Region = VA    Liberty          
   Nickname = A Seahawks             Coach  =   Craig Lunde           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   90.4519577    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A George Mason           VA    Dulles  ( 3-12, 73.3)    16- 4   
 317 H Stone Bridge           VA    Liberty (11- 5, 93.7)     8- 7   
 325 A Marshall               VA    Liberty ( 4- 8, 79.8)    18-11   
 326 H Centreville            VA    Concord ( 6- 7, 86.8)     6- 9   
 326 N Woodbridge             VA    Card    ( 5- 9, 80.7)     9- 7   
 404 A McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 4- 8, 81.3)    13- 6   
 408 H Herndon                VA    Concord ( 7- 7, 89.6)    13-11   
 414 A Langley                VA    Liberty (19- 3, 99.9)     5-16   
 426 H Fairfax                VA    Liberty ( 0-12, 75.5)    11- 7   
 428 H Madison                VA    Liberty (10- 8, 90.7)    10-11   
 504 H Thos Jefferson         VA    Liberty ( 5- 8, 82.6)     8- 7  o
 506 H Thos Jefferson         VA    Liberty ( 5- 8, 82.6)     8- 9   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A George Mason           16- 4      12    14          n/a  
   317 H Stone Bridge            8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.69
   325 A Marshall               18-11       7     8          -1.78
   326 H Centreville             6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.18
   326 N Woodbridge              9- 7       2     8          n/a  
   404 A McLean                 13- 6       7     7          -0.25
   408 H Herndon                13-11       2     0    +      2.66
   414 A Langley                 5-16     -11   -11           0.00
   426 H Fairfax                11- 7       4    13    ---   -6.00
   428 H Madison                10-11      -1    -1           0.70
   504 H Thos Jefferson          8- 7  o    1     6    --    -5.37
   506 H Thos Jefferson          8- 9      -1     6    ---   -7.37


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 N Woodbridge              9- 7       2     8    ---        
   426 H Fairfax                11- 7       4    13    ---   -6.00
   506 H Thos Jefferson          8- 9      -1     6    ---   -7.37
   326 H Centreville             6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.18
   504 H Thos Jefferson          8- 7  o    1     6    --    -5.37


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Stone Bridge            8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.69
   408 H Herndon                13-11       2     0    +      2.66




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.77 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.99 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3


  
/