First Flight                  3 - 8


 
                                     Region = NC    Indep            
   Nickname = C Nighthawks           Coach  =   John Van Lunen        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   74.8656540    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 A Great Bridge LC        VA    Beach   ( 7- 5, 83.7)     3- 6   
 305 H Grassfield LC          VA    Beach   ( 9- 5, 85.7)     5- 6   
 311 H Great Bridge LC        VA    Beach   ( 7- 5, 83.7)     2- 9   
 315 A Cape Henry Collegiate  VA 1  Tidewtr (14- 6, 96.3)     1-19   
 319 A Norfolk Collegiate     VA 2  Tidewtr ( 2-13, 78.6)     2-15   
 322 A Pitt LC                NC    ECLL    (11- 5, 94.7)     1-11   
 325 H Maury LC               VA    Beach   ( 3- 9, 76.9)     6- 5   
 408 A Cary HS                NC    Conf-02 ( 3-12, 77.1)     1-10   
 409 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 5-12, 80.5)     0-14   
 414 A Walsingham Academy     VA 2  Tidewtr ( 0-12, 72.3)     3- 2   
 416 H Pitt LC                NC    ECLL    (11- 5, 94.7)     8- 4   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Great Bridge LC         3- 6      -3    -9          n/a  
   305 H Grassfield LC           5- 6      -1   -11          n/a  
   311 H Great Bridge LC         2- 9      -7    -9          n/a  
   315 A Cape Henry Collegiate   1-19     -18   -22          n/a  
   319 A Norfolk Collegiate      2-15     -13    -5          n/a  
   322 A Pitt LC                 1-11     -10   -21          n/a  
   325 H Maury LC                6- 5       1    -2          n/a  
   408 A Cary HS                 1-10      -9    -3    --    -5.44
   409 A Panther Creek           0-14     -14    -6    -     -3.03
   414 A Walsingham Academy      3- 2       1     0          n/a  
   416 H Pitt LC                 8- 4       4   -19          n/a  


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Norfolk Collegiate      2-15     -13    -5    --         
   408 A Cary HS                 1-10      -9    -3    --    -5.44
   409 A Panther Creek           0-14     -14    -6    -     -3.03


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Great Bridge LC         3- 6      -3    -9    +++        
   305 H Grassfield LC           5- 6      -1   -11    +++        
   416 H Pitt LC                 8- 4       4   -19    +++        
   311 H Great Bridge LC         2- 9      -7    -9    +          
   325 H Maury LC                6- 5       1    -2    +          




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.14 Local Power Rank...........    53
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.73 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.21 Local RPI Rank.............    70
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    2.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0


  
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