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Conf = FCIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Bears Coach = Chris McGeeGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.6773682 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Staples-Westport CT L (15- 5, 92.6) 6-12 409 A St Joseph-Trumbull CT S (12- 8, 88.0) 7-14 412 A Fairfield-Ludlowe CT M (10- 8, 88.1) 10-11 o 414 H Trumbull CT L ( 3-13, 72.9) 12-10 416 A New Canaan CT M (13- 8, 90.6) 5-10 419 H Northwest Catholic CT S ( 4-12, 72.4) 16- 3 421 A Westhill CT L ( 7-10, 80.7) 12-11 425 A Ridgefield CT L (18- 5, 96.4) 5-15 427 H Old Saybrook CT S (10- 8, 74.4) 13- 2 503 H Brookfield CT M ( 8-10, 74.6) 14- 3 507 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk CT L (13- 6, 91.7) 6-17 510 H Wilton CT M (16- 6, 95.4) 3-15 512 H Stamford CT L ( 6-11, 76.8) 19- 9 514 A Darien CT M (19- 3, 99.9) 3-20 516 A Newtown CT L (18- 3, 90.7) 13-12 519 H Fairfield-Warde CT M ( 1-15, 69.1) 12- 4 601 A New Fairfield CT M (17- 5, 87.4) 11-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Staples-Westport 6-12 -6 -8 + 2.73 409 A St Joseph-Trumbull 7-14 -7 -6 -0.51 412 A Fairfield-Ludlowe 10-11 o -1 -6 ++ 5.59 414 H Trumbull 12-10 2 10 --- -8.00 416 A New Canaan 5-10 -5 -9 ++ 4.03 419 H Northwest Catholic 16- 3 13 11 0.00 421 A Westhill 12-11 1 0 0.12 425 A Ridgefield 5-15 -10 -14 0.00 427 H Old Saybrook 13- 2 11 9 0.57 503 H Brookfield 14- 3 11 9 0.76 507 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk 6-17 -11 -7 - -2.15 510 H Wilton 3-15 -12 -11 0.00 512 H Stamford 19- 9 10 7 + 2.94 514 A Darien 3-20 -17 -18 0.00 516 A Newtown 13-12 1 -9 +++ 10.11 519 H Fairfield-Warde 12- 4 8 14 - -2.00 601 A New Fairfield 11-15 -4 -5 1.90UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H Trumbull 12-10 2 10 --- -8.00 507 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk 6-17 -11 -7 - -2.15 519 H Fairfield-Warde 12- 4 8 14 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 A Newtown 13-12 1 -9 +++ 10.11 412 A Fairfield-Ludlowe 10-11 o -1 -6 ++ 5.59 416 A New Canaan 5-10 -5 -9 ++ 4.03 407 H Staples-Westport 6-12 -6 -8 + 2.73 512 H Stamford 19- 9 10 7 + 2.94/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.71 Local Power Rank........... 27 Local SOS Rating......... 67.78 Local SOS Rank............. 14 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 27 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 45 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 23 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7