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Region = MD MILL Nickname = A Dragons Coach = Rob HorneGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.7641754 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 308 H Covenant VA 2 VIC (10-12, 87.3) 17- 1 312 H St Albans DC IAC ( 9-13, 88.7) 7- 5 315 H St Stephen/St Agnes DC IAC (11- 9, 92.9) 5-10 318 A Paul VI DC WCAC (15- 6, 95.7) 9-10 3o 326 H Eleanor Roosevelt MD MILL ( 5- 7, 76.6) 18- 1 402 H The Heights MD MILL (10- 6, 87.1) 12- 1 405 A Episcopal HS DC IAC (21- 5, 95.4) 3-13 407 H Gunston Day MD MILL (10- 7, 83.7) 20- 3 409 H Calverton MD MILL (11- 4, 96.6) 8-12 412 A Collegiate School VA 1 VIP (13- 7, 95.2) 6-12 414 A Mercersburg Academy PA Indep ( 4-11, 70.5) 14- 4 416 H Sandy Spring Friends MD MILL ( 1- 9, 64.4) 1- 0 418 A Flint Hill DC MAC ( 9- 8, 85.9) 8- 9 421 A Woodberry Forest VA 1 VIP (11- 6, 94.8) 7-13 427 A St Christopher's VA 1 VIP (13- 8, 94.3) 5-11 429 N Cape Henry Collegiate VA 1 Tidewtr (14- 6, 96.3) 11- 8 503 H The Heights MD MILL (10- 6, 87.1) 13- 4 509 A Calverton MD MILL (11- 4, 96.6) 6-18 511 H Blue Ridge School VA 1 VIC (16- 3, 99.9) 12-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 H Covenant 17- 1 16 4 n/a 312 H St Albans 7- 5 2 2 n/a 315 H St Stephen/St Agnes 5-10 -5 -1 n/a 318 A Paul VI 9-10 3o -1 -7 +++ 6.38 326 H Eleanor Roosevelt 18- 1 17 15 0.00 402 H The Heights 12- 1 11 5 ++ 4.98 405 A Episcopal HS 3-13 -10 -6 n/a 407 H Gunston Day 20- 3 17 8 1.57 409 H Calverton 8-12 -4 -4 0.53 412 A Collegiate School 6-12 -6 -5 n/a 414 A Mercersburg Academy 14- 4 10 18 n/a 418 A Flint Hill 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.44 421 A Woodberry Forest 7-13 -6 -5 n/a 427 A St Christopher's 5-11 -6 -5 n/a 429 N Cape Henry Collegiate 11- 8 3 -6 n/a 503 H The Heights 13- 4 9 5 + 3.98 509 A Calverton 6-18 -12 -8 -1.74 511 H Blue Ridge School 12-10 2 -8 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 H St Stephen/St Agnes 5-10 -5 -1 - 405 A Episcopal HS 3-13 -10 -6 - 418 A Flint Hill 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.44OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A Paul VI 9-10 3o -1 -7 +++ 6.38 429 N Cape Henry Collegiate 11- 8 3 -6 +++ 511 H Blue Ridge School 12-10 2 -8 +++ 308 H Covenant 17- 1 16 4 ++ 402 H The Heights 12- 1 11 5 ++ 4.98 503 H The Heights 13- 4 9 5 + 3.98/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.22 Local Power Rank........... 7 Local SOS Rating......... 76.00 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 10 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3