Northern Arizona              0 -12


 
                                     Region = AZ 2  Div-2            
   Nickname = Z Pack                 Coach  =   Gordon Beyer          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   78.3563538    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 A Boulder Creek          AZ 2  Div-2   ( 2-10, 77.7)     5-11   
 312 A Mesquite/Gilbert       AZ 2  Div-2   ( 2-10, 81.3)     1-20   
 319 A Glendale               AZ 2  Div-2   ( 9- 4, 96.2)     4-24   
 319 A Phoenix Country Day    AZ 2  Div-2   ( 6- 5, 89.9)     2-17   
 326 A Notre Dame Prep        AZ 2  Div-2   (13- 3, 99.9)     1-20   
 326 A Pinnacle               AZ 2  Div-2   ( 8- 4, 92.8)     1-20   
 402 A Brophy Prep II         AZ 2  Div-2   ( 7- 5, 90.5)     3-18   
 416 H Notre Dame Prep        AZ 2  Div-2   (13- 3, 99.9)     2-19   
 416 H Pinnacle               AZ 2  Div-2   ( 8- 4, 92.8)     3-11   
 423 H Phoenix Country Day    AZ 2  Div-2   ( 6- 5, 89.9)     3-15   
 423 H Boulder Creek          AZ 2  Div-2   ( 2-10, 77.7)     6- 7   
 430 H Estrella               AZ 2  Div-2   ( 4- 8, 81.4)     6-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 A Boulder Creek           5-11      -6    -7           1.86
   312 A Mesquite/Gilbert        1-20     -19   -11           0.00
   319 A Glendale                4-24     -20   -26           0.00
   319 A Phoenix Country Day     2-17     -15   -20           0.00
   326 A Notre Dame Prep         1-20     -19   -30           0.00
   326 A Pinnacle                1-20     -19   -22           0.00
   402 A Brophy Prep II          3-18     -15   -20           0.00
   416 H Notre Dame Prep         2-19     -17   -27           0.00
   416 H Pinnacle                3-11      -8   -20    +      2.00
   423 H Phoenix Country Day     3-15     -12   -17           0.00
   423 H Boulder Creek           6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.27
   430 H Estrella                6-12      -6    -8    +      2.97


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Boulder Creek           6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.27
   416 H Pinnacle                3-11      -8   -20    +      2.00
   430 H Estrella                6-12      -6    -8    +      2.97




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.15 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.08 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.35 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    3.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -13.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-12 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3


  
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