Mount Ararat                  6 - 7


 
                                     Region = ME    East-A           
   Nickname = E Eagles               Coach  =   Matt Haskell          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   85.5713043    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 421 H Brunswick              ME    East-A  ( 6- 8, 80.3)     4-12   
 423 A Lewiston               ME    East-A  (14- 3, 90.8)     3- 7   
 427 H Mount Blue             ME    East-A  ( 3- 9, 68.9)    15- 2   
 430 H Noble                  ME    West-A  ( 2-10, 68.3)    15- 2   
 505 A Edward Little          ME    East-A  ( 2-10, 67.7)    12- 0   
 509 A Oxford Hills           ME    East-A  ( 6- 6, 73.8)    19- 7   
 511 H Messalonskee           ME    East-A  (13- 2, 89.5)     7-10   
 514 A Kennebunk              ME    West-A  ( 9- 4, 86.7)     3-15   
 518 H Cony                   ME    East-A  ( 1-11, 66.7)    17- 5   
 521 A Mount Blue             ME    East-A  ( 3- 9, 68.9)    17- 4   
 525 H Lewiston               ME    East-A  (14- 3, 90.8)     6-10   
 528 A Brunswick              ME    East-A  ( 6- 8, 80.3)     9-10   
 607 A Messalonskee           ME    East-A  (13- 2, 89.5)     6-17   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Brunswick               4-12      -8     1    ---   -9.34
   423 A Lewiston                3- 7      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   427 H Mount Blue             15- 2      13    12           0.00
   430 H Noble                  15- 2      13    13           0.00
   505 A Edward Little          12- 0      12    12           0.00
   509 A Oxford Hills           19- 7      12     6    +      3.67
   511 H Messalonskee            7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.83
   514 A Kennebunk               3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.42
   518 H Cony                   17- 5      12    14           0.00
   521 A Mount Blue             17- 4      13    11           0.00
   525 H Lewiston                6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.11
   528 A Brunswick               9-10      -1     0          -0.83
   607 A Messalonskee            6-17     -11    -9          -0.66


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Brunswick               4-12      -8     1    ---   -9.34
   514 A Kennebunk               3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.42


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Lewiston                3- 7      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   511 H Messalonskee            7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.83
   525 H Lewiston                6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.11
   509 A Oxford Hills           19- 7      12     6    +      3.67




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.92 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.36 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3


  
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