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Region = AZ 1 Div-1 Nickname = Z Heat Coach = Geoff LarsenGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.3712692 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 305 A Chandler AZ 1 Div-1 ( 9- 6, 89.3) 8- 9 308 H Chaparral AZ 1 Div-1 (17- 2, 98.4) 7-11 311 H Horizon AZ 1 Div-1 ( 5-11, 81.6) 20- 7 318 A Hamilton AZ 1 Div-1 ( 3-11, 81.3) 12- 9 322 A Gilbert AZ 1 Div-1 ( 2-12, 80.0) 9- 1 325 A Saguaro AZ 1 Div-1 (10- 6, 92.2) 4-14 402 H Tucson Tanque Verde AZ 1 Div-1 ( 6- 8, 86.8) 12- 6 405 H Brophy Prep AZ 1 Div-1 (19- 4, 99.9) 6- 9 408 A Corona del Sol AZ 1 Div-1 ( 8- 7, 89.5) 11- 8 413 H Catalina Foothills AZ 1 Div-1 ( 7- 7, 89.4) 10- 9 416 H Salpointe Catholic AZ 1 Div-1 ( 8- 8, 87.8) 5- 8 419 A Mountain Pointe AZ 1 Div-1 ( 1-13, 77.3) 8- 6 421 A Desert Vista AZ 1 Div-1 (12- 4, 96.3) 4- 6 426 H Desert Mountain AZ 1 Div-1 ( 2-12, 82.1) 11- 9 429 A Desert Vista AZ 1 Div-1 (12- 4, 96.3) 7- 6 504 A Chaparral AZ 1 Div-1 (17- 2, 98.4) 3- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 A Chandler 8- 9 -1 0 -1.76 308 H Chaparral 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.26 311 H Horizon 20- 7 13 9 0.46 318 A Hamilton 12- 9 3 8 -- -5.68 322 A Gilbert 9- 1 8 10 - -2.00 325 A Saguaro 4-14 -10 -2 --- -7.82 402 H Tucson Tanque Verde 12- 6 6 4 1.68 405 H Brophy Prep 6- 9 -3 -8 ++ 5.74 408 A Corona del Sol 11- 8 3 0 + 2.43 413 H Catalina Foothills 10- 9 1 1 -0.75 416 H Salpointe Catholic 5- 8 -3 3 --- -6.34 419 A Mountain Pointe 8- 6 2 12 --- -8.00 421 A Desert Vista 4- 6 -2 -6 ++ 4.26 426 H Desert Mountain 11- 9 2 9 --- -7.05 429 A Desert Vista 7- 6 1 -6 +++ 7.26 504 A Chaparral 3- 9 -6 -8 + 2.38UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Saguaro 4-14 -10 -2 --- -7.82 416 H Salpointe Catholic 5- 8 -3 3 --- -6.34 419 A Mountain Pointe 8- 6 2 12 --- -8.00 426 H Desert Mountain 11- 9 2 9 --- -7.05 318 A Hamilton 12- 9 3 8 -- -5.68 322 A Gilbert 9- 1 8 10 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 A Desert Vista 7- 6 1 -6 +++ 7.26 405 H Brophy Prep 6- 9 -3 -8 ++ 5.74 421 A Desert Vista 4- 6 -2 -6 ++ 4.26 308 H Chaparral 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.26 408 A Corona del Sol 11- 8 3 0 + 2.43 504 A Chaparral 3- 9 -6 -8 + 2.38/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.59 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 75.96 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0