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Conf = Catholic Region = MA 1 Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Rick MazzeiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.5338593 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 402 H Newton South MA 1 ( 2-18, 72.9) 10- 2 405 A Xaverian Bros MA 1 ( 6-12, 84.2) 4-10 407 H St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 (14- 8, 92.2) 2- 6 409 H Central Catholic MA 1 ( 4-14, 73.6) 5- 3 412 A Boston College HS MA 1 (15- 5, 91.8) 1- 9 416 A Beverly MA 2 (13- 6, 84.6) 4- 6 419 H Chelmsford MA 1 ( 9-11, 81.5) 9- 4 421 H Dracut MA 2 ( 8-11, 76.9) 8- 3 425 A Medford MA 1 (11- 7, 76.5) 10- 7 427 H Catholic Memorial MA 2 (13- 7, 87.5) 6- 7 430 H Xaverian Bros MA 1 ( 6-12, 84.2) 6-10 503 A St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 (14- 8, 92.2) 3- 8 505 H Boston College HS MA 1 (15- 5, 91.8) 6-10 512 A Catholic Memorial MA 2 (13- 7, 87.5) 6- 7 516 H Marshfield MA 1 (20- 1, 95.8) 6- 7 o 519 H Burlington MA 2 (11- 9, 82.9) 8- 6 523 A Haverhill MA 1 ( 5-12, 75.7) 11- 2 525 A Peabody MA 1 ( 5-13, 73.2) 14- 4PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Newton South 10- 2 8 10 - -2.00 405 A Xaverian Bros 4-10 -6 -2 - -3.91 407 H St Johns Prep Danvers 2- 6 -4 -8 ++ 4.42 409 H Central Catholic 5- 3 2 10 --- -8.00 412 A Boston College HS 1- 9 -8 -9 1.75 416 A Beverly 4- 6 -2 -2 0.55 419 H Chelmsford 9- 4 5 2 + 2.77 421 H Dracut 8- 3 5 6 -1.79 425 A Medford 10- 7 3 5 - -2.54 427 H Catholic Memorial 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.81 430 H Xaverian Bros 6-10 -4 0 - -3.58 503 A St Johns Prep Danvers 3- 8 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 505 H Boston College HS 6-10 -4 -8 ++ 4.09 512 A Catholic Memorial 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.48 516 H Marshfield 6- 7 o -1 -12 +++ 9.00 519 H Burlington 8- 6 2 0 1.14 523 A Haverhill 11- 2 9 6 + 2.62 525 A Peabody 14- 4 10 8 1.13UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Central Catholic 5- 3 2 10 --- -8.00 402 H Newton South 10- 2 8 10 - -2.00 405 A Xaverian Bros 4-10 -6 -2 - -3.91 425 A Medford 10- 7 3 5 - -2.54 430 H Xaverian Bros 6-10 -4 0 - -3.58OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 H Marshfield 6- 7 o -1 -12 +++ 9.00 407 H St Johns Prep Danvers 2- 6 -4 -8 ++ 4.42 503 A St Johns Prep Danvers 3- 8 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 505 H Boston College HS 6-10 -4 -8 ++ 4.09 512 A Catholic Memorial 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.48 419 H Chelmsford 9- 4 5 2 + 2.77 427 H Catholic Memorial 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.81 523 A Haverhill 11- 2 9 6 + 2.62/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.90 Local Power Rank........... 43 Local SOS Rating......... 64.82 Local SOS Rank............. 26 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 68 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 76 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 58 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 7.0