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Region = MD 43 North Nickname = D Lancers Coach = Stan AldridgeGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.6240234 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 322 H Westminster MD 43 North (13- 3, 97.1) 6- 5 326 A South Carroll MD 21 West (13- 3, 94.3) 9-12 329 H North Carroll MD 21 West ( 9- 6, 86.2) 11- 3 405 H Liberty MD 21 West ( 3-12, 76.8) 15- 1 407 A Century MD 32 West ( 8-10, 84.7) 14-10 413 H Thomas Johnson MD 43 North ( 9- 7, 84.5) 13- 5 418 A Walkersville MD 32 West ( 8- 8, 83.3) 10- 2 420 H North Hagerstown MD 32 West ( 6-10, 76.3) 16- 3 426 H Urbana MD 43 North ( 8- 7, 88.4) 12-11 429 A Frederick MD 32 West ( 5-10, 76.6) 17- 4 503 A Tuscarora MD 32 West ( 5-10, 78.9) 17- 4 505 H St James DC MAC (12- 7, 85.2) 13- 9 514 H Watkins Mill MD 43 North ( 9- 5, 79.5) 15- 7 516 H Westminster MD 43 North (13- 3, 97.1) 14-13 519 A Quince Orchard MD 43 North (15- 1, 94.3) 10- 6 521 N Dulaney MD 43 South (13- 6, 90.8) 13- 6 525 N South River MD 43 East (16- 4, 93.7) 13-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Westminster 6- 5 1 0 1.08 326 A South Carroll 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.12 329 H North Carroll 11- 3 8 10 - -2.00 405 H Liberty 15- 1 14 20 0.00 407 A Century 14-10 4 10 --- -6.00 413 H Thomas Johnson 13- 5 8 12 - -2.00 418 A Walkersville 10- 2 8 12 - -2.00 420 H North Hagerstown 16- 3 13 20 0.00 426 H Urbana 12-11 1 8 --- -7.61 429 A Frederick 17- 4 13 18 0.00 503 A Tuscarora 17- 4 13 16 0.00 505 H St James 13- 9 4 12 n/a 514 H Watkins Mill 15- 7 8 17 - -2.00 516 H Westminster 14-13 1 0 1.08 519 A Quince Orchard 10- 6 4 1 + 2.86 521 N Dulaney 13- 6 7 5 1.63 525 N South River 13-12 1 2 -1.46UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Century 14-10 4 10 --- -6.00 426 H Urbana 12-11 1 8 --- -7.61 505 H St James 13- 9 4 12 --- 326 A South Carroll 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.12 329 H North Carroll 11- 3 8 10 - -2.00 413 H Thomas Johnson 13- 5 8 12 - -2.00 418 A Walkersville 10- 2 8 12 - -2.00 514 H Watkins Mill 15- 7 8 17 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 519 A Quince Orchard 10- 6 4 1 + 2.86/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.21 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 70.13 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.69 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 4.0 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 1 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0