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Conf = Div I Region = NY A Sec 11 Nickname = Y Thunderbirds Coach = Mike ConwayGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.0733948 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 324 H Plainedge NY B Sec 8 ( 6-10, 81.5) 15- 2 328 H Georgetown Prep DC IAC (18- 3, 99.3) 6-16 330 A Riverhead NY A Sec 11 ( 2-14, 72.3) 13- 3 404 A Walt Whitman NY A Sec 11 ( 7- 9, 84.3) 10-12 406 H Brentwood NY A Sec 11 ( 1-15, 63.8) 21- 0 409 A Longwood NY A Sec 11 ( 5-10, 78.3) 14- 6 412 A Smithtown East NY A Sec 11 (10- 8, 89.5) 8-13 414 H Copiague NY A Sec 11 ( 2-14, 72.7) 22- 6 426 H Bay Shore NY A Sec 11 (11- 6, 89.9) 5- 6 429 A Patchogue-Medford NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 8, 82.6) 13-18 504 H Ward Melville NY A Sec 11 (16- 2, 99.1) 2- 7 506 A William Floyd NY A Sec 11 ( 3-13, 75.4) 12- 4 510 H West Islip NY A Sec 11 (19- 1, 99.9) 2- 7 512 A North Babylon NY A Sec 11 (10- 6, 84.6) 15- 6 514 H East Islip NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 8, 89.8) 9- 7 516 H Commack NY A Sec 11 ( 7- 9, 78.9) 10- 2PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 H Plainedge 15- 2 13 7 n/a 328 H Georgetown Prep 6-16 -10 -10 n/a 330 A Riverhead 13- 3 10 15 0.00 404 A Walt Whitman 10-12 -2 3 -- -5.49 406 H Brentwood 21- 0 21 24 0.00 409 A Longwood 14- 6 8 9 -1.47 412 A Smithtown East 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.27 414 H Copiague 22- 6 16 15 0.00 426 H Bay Shore 5- 6 -1 -1 0.60 429 A Patchogue-Medford 13-18 -5 5 --- -10.23 504 H Ward Melville 2- 7 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 506 A William Floyd 12- 4 8 12 - -2.00 510 H West Islip 2- 7 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 512 A North Babylon 15- 6 9 3 ++ 5.85 514 H East Islip 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.47 516 H Commack 10- 2 8 9 -1.39UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 A Patchogue-Medford 13-18 -5 5 --- -10.23 404 A Walt Whitman 10-12 -2 3 -- -5.49 412 A Smithtown East 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.27 506 A William Floyd 12- 4 8 12 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 H Ward Melville 2- 7 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 510 H West Islip 2- 7 -5 -11 ++ 5.00 512 A North Babylon 15- 6 9 3 ++ 5.85 324 H Plainedge 15- 2 13 7 + 514 H East Islip 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.47
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.05 Local Power Rank........... 17 Local SOS Rating......... 66.17 Local SOS Rank............. 24 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 23 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 22 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 19 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.3