Gerstell Academy              8 - 3


 
                                     Region = MD    Indep            
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Butch Hilliard        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   79.6707535    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 310 H Mount Carmel           MD C  MIAA    ( 8-10, 79.4)    13- 6   
 311 H Chapelgate Christian   MD C  MIAA    ( 1-14, 69.3)    12- 2   
 315 A Key School             MD C  MIAA    ( 3-12, 73.3)    17- 6   
 324 A Indian Creek School    MD C  MIAA    ( 6- 9, 77.2)    13- 4   
 331 A West Nottingham        MD    Indep   ( 0- 7, 63.9)     8- 2   
 407 H Cristo Rey Jesuit      MD    Indep   ( 0- 7, 59.6)    17- 4   
 411 A FCA Lacrosse           MD    Indep   ( 6- 1, 80.5)    17- 9   
 418 H St Johns Catholic Prep MD C  MIAA    (13- 6, 88.3)    10-14   
 420 A Baltimore Lutheran     MD C  MIAA    (16- 0, 99.9)     4-20   
 502 H FCA Lacrosse           MD    Indep   ( 6- 1, 80.5)     8- 9 2o
 503 A Cristo Rey Jesuit      MD    Indep   ( 0- 7, 59.6)    13- 3   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Mount Carmel           13- 6       7     6          n/a  
   311 H Chapelgate Christian   12- 2      10    16          n/a  
   315 A Key School             17- 6      11     9          n/a  
   324 A Indian Creek School    13- 4       9     5          n/a  
   331 A West Nottingham         8- 2       6    18    --    -4.00
   407 H Cristo Rey Jesuit      17- 4      13    26           0.00
   411 A FCA Lacrosse           17- 9       8     1    +++    6.19
   418 H St Johns Catholic Prep 10-14      -4    -2          n/a  
   420 A Baltimore Lutheran      4-20     -16   -17          n/a  
   502 H FCA Lacrosse            8- 9 2o   -1     5    ---   -6.55
   503 A Cristo Rey Jesuit      13- 3      10    22           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H FCA Lacrosse            8- 9 2o   -1     5    ---   -6.55
   331 A West Nottingham         8- 2       6    18    --    -4.00


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A FCA Lacrosse           17- 9       8     1    +++    6.19
   324 A Indian Creek School    13- 4       9     5    +          




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.20 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.95 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3


  
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