Region = VA    Evergrn          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Reed Gillespie        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.2376175    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Monticello             VA    Jeffsn  ( 4-10, 83.4)     6-10   
 322 A Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 6- 9, 86.0)     6-14   
 404 A Eastern View           VA    Evergrn ( 3-10, 75.0)     9- 6   
 406 A Brentsville            VA    Evergrn (10- 7, 86.1)     3- 8   
 411 H Culpeper County        VA    Evergrn (12- 4, 89.1)     8-13   
 415 A Kettle Run             VA    Evergrn (15- 2, 94.9)     7-10   
 427 A Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Evergrn ( 3- 9, 74.7)    12- 8   
 502 A Eastern View           VA    Evergrn ( 3-10, 75.0)     0- 1   
 505 H Brentsville            VA    Evergrn (10- 7, 86.1)     7-14   
 509 A Culpeper County        VA    Evergrn (12- 4, 89.1)     6-14   
 512 H Kettle Run             VA    Evergrn (15- 2, 94.9)     6-16   
 514 H Eastern View           VA    Evergrn ( 3-10, 75.0)    13-10   
 516 A Kettle Run             VA    Evergrn (15- 2, 94.9)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Monticello              6-10      -4    -5           1.03
   322 A Charlottesville         6-14      -8    -7          -0.30
   404 A Eastern View            9- 6       3     3          -0.35
   406 A Brentsville             3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.72
   411 H Culpeper County         8-13      -5    -8    +      4.00
   415 A Kettle Run              7-10      -3   -16    +++    7.00
   427 A Liberty-Bealeton       12- 8       4     3           0.40
   505 H Brentsville             7-14      -7    -5          -1.03
   509 A Culpeper County         6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   512 H Kettle Run              6-16     -10   -14           0.00
   514 H Eastern View           13-10       3     5    -     -2.10
   516 A Kettle Run              8-10      -2   -16    +++    8.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Eastern View           13-10       3     5    -     -2.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Kettle Run              7-10      -3   -16    +++    7.00
   516 A Kettle Run              8-10      -2   -16    +++    8.00
   406 A Brentsville             3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.72
   411 H Culpeper County         8-13      -5    -8    +      4.00
   509 A Culpeper County         6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.22 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.48 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/