Chaparral                    12 - 4


 
                                     Region = CO    DougCo           
   Nickname = O Wolverines           Coach  =   Mike Magrin           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   94.7454834    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 310 H Boulder                CO    North   ( 8- 8, 80.6)    15- 2   
 312 H Air Academy            CO    PikesPk (13- 4, 91.4)    10- 8   
 315 A Grandview              CO    Centenn ( 9- 6, 84.4)    12- 3   
 316 A Cherokee Trail         CO    Centenn (12- 5, 88.8)     9-10   
 321 N Christian Bros         MO    Div-1   ( 9-13, 88.2)    15- 3   
 401 H Mountain Vista         CO    DougCo  (13- 5, 90.7)    10- 7   
 405 H Ponderosa              CO    DougCo  ( 3-10, 74.4)    16- 9   
 408 A ThunderRidge           CO    DougCo  ( 8- 7, 81.6)    18- 3   
 412 H Douglas County         CO    DougCo  ( 1-14, 70.0)    16- 0   
 415 A Legend                 CO    DougCo  ( 1-14, 64.1)    17- 1   
 419 H Rock Canyon            CO    DougCo  (12- 5, 89.4)     7-10   
 422 A Castle View            CO    DougCo  ( 9- 6, 84.4)    12- 9   
 423 A Fort Collins Unified   CO    North   (12- 5, 93.6)     4-10   
 426 A Highlands Ranch        CO    DougCo  (10- 7, 87.9)    12- 2   
 511 H Air Academy            CO    PikesPk (13- 4, 91.4)     9- 8   
 514 A Regis Jesuit           CO    So-Sub  (18- 1, 99.9)     1-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Boulder                15- 2      13    12           0.00
   312 H Air Academy            10- 8       2     1           0.16
   315 A Grandview              12- 3       9     6    +      2.34
   316 A Cherokee Trail          9-10      -1     2    -     -3.26
   321 N Christian Bros         15- 3      12     3          n/a  
   401 H Mountain Vista         10- 7       3     2           0.44
   405 H Ponderosa              16- 9       7    18    -     -3.00
   408 A ThunderRidge           18- 3      15     9           0.54
   412 H Douglas County         16- 0      16    23           0.00
   415 A Legend                 17- 1      16    26           0.00
   419 H Rock Canyon             7-10      -3     3    ---   -6.89
   422 A Castle View            12- 9       3     6    -     -3.66
   423 A Fort Collins Unified    4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.52
   426 A Highlands Ranch        12- 2      10     3    +++    6.86
   511 H Air Academy             9- 8       1     1          -0.84
   514 A Regis Jesuit            1-13     -12    -8          -1.17


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Rock Canyon             7-10      -3     3    ---   -6.89
   316 A Cherokee Trail          9-10      -1     2    -     -3.26
   405 H Ponderosa              16- 9       7    18    -     -3.00
   422 A Castle View            12- 9       3     6    -     -3.66
   423 A Fort Collins Unified    4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.52


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 N Christian Bros         15- 3      12     3    +++        
   426 A Highlands Ranch        12- 2      10     3    +++    6.86
   315 A Grandview              12- 3       9     6    +      2.34




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.16 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.06 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3


  
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