Region = VA    Evergrn          
   Nickname = A Tigers               Coach  =   Carl Kielbasa         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4123840    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 H Hylton                 VA    Card    ( 3- 9, 74.0)    11- 9   
 324 H Osbourn                VA    Cedar   ( 3-11, 81.1)     6- 5   
 328 H Colonial Forge         VA    Comw    ( 8- 8, 87.0)     7- 8  o
 401 A Stonewall Jackson      VA    Cedar   (12- 5, 94.7)     2-17   
 404 A Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Evergrn ( 3- 9, 74.7)     9-10  o
 406 H Fauquier               VA    Evergrn ( 3-10, 79.2)     8- 3   
 411 H Eastern View           VA    Evergrn ( 3-10, 75.0)    16- 7   
 414 A Culpeper County        VA    Evergrn (12- 4, 89.1)     8- 9   
 426 A Kettle Run             VA    Evergrn (15- 2, 94.9)     8-16   
 502 H Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Evergrn ( 3- 9, 74.7)     1- 0   
 504 H Kettle Run             VA    Evergrn (15- 2, 94.9)     5- 4   
 505 A Fauquier               VA    Evergrn ( 3-10, 79.2)    14- 7   
 509 A Eastern View           VA    Evergrn ( 3-10, 75.0)    10- 3   
 512 H Culpeper County        VA    Evergrn (12- 4, 89.1)    14-10   
 516 H Culpeper County        VA    Evergrn (12- 4, 89.1)    11-10   
 519 A Kettle Run             VA    Evergrn (15- 2, 94.9)     6- 8   
 523 A Dominion HS            VA    Dulles  (10- 9, 90.0)     5-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Hylton                 11- 9       2    12          n/a  
   324 H Osbourn                 6- 5       1     5          n/a  
   328 H Colonial Forge          7- 8  o   -1     0          n/a  
   401 A Stonewall Jackson       2-17     -15    -9          n/a  
   404 A Liberty-Bealeton        9-10  o   -1    10    ---  -11.00
   406 H Fauquier                8- 3       5     7    -     -2.72
   411 H Eastern View           16- 7       9    11          -1.00
   414 A Culpeper County         8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.90
   426 A Kettle Run              8-16      -8    -9           1.74
   504 H Kettle Run              5- 4       1    -7    +++    8.99
   505 A Fauquier               14- 7       7     5           1.03
   509 A Eastern View           10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   512 H Culpeper County        14-10       4    -2    +++    6.15
   516 H Culpeper County        11-10       1    -2    +      3.15
   519 A Kettle Run              6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.74
   523 A Dominion HS             5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Hylton                 11- 9       2    12    ---        
   404 A Liberty-Bealeton        9-10  o   -1    10    ---  -11.00
   324 H Osbourn                 6- 5       1     5    --         
   523 A Dominion HS             5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.24
   406 H Fauquier                8- 3       5     7    -     -2.72
   509 A Eastern View           10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Kettle Run              5- 4       1    -7    +++    8.99
   512 H Culpeper County        14-10       4    -2    +++    6.15
   519 A Kettle Run              6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.74
   414 A Culpeper County         8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.90
   516 H Culpeper County        11-10       1    -2    +      3.15
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.07 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.76 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/