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Conf = SCIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Hornets Coach = Jim MayGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.6791077 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 406 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk CT L (13- 6, 91.7) 3-18 408 A Hall-West Hartford CT L (12- 5, 85.6) 9-13 411 H Old Lyme CT S ( 6-10, 73.4) 16- 9 414 H Notre Dame-West Haven CT M ( 7- 9, 76.8) 8- 7 2o 421 A Guilford CT M (10-10, 82.8) 8-10 425 A Cheshire HS CT L (11-10, 84.4) 7-14 427 H West Haven CT L ( 5-11, 62.8) 18- 5 429 A North Haven CT M ( 6-10, 73.8) 11- 8 505 H Amity Regional CT L ( 6-10, 78.6) 14- 9 507 H Old Saybrook CT S (10- 8, 74.4) 14-10 509 A Daniel Hand-Madison CT M (10- 9, 84.6) 7-19 511 H Fairfield Prep CT L (18- 5, 93.4) 6-11 513 A Wilbur Cross CT L ( 0-16, 55.2) 19- 2 516 H Shelton CT L ( 8-10, 75.2) 16-11 519 H Hamden CT L (12- 6, 80.0) 12- 9 521 H Xavier CT L (13- 5, 84.9) 8-10 523 A Guilford CT M (10-10, 82.8) 5-13 601 A Avon HS CT M (12- 7, 80.7) 14-13 o 604 A New Fairfield CT M (17- 5, 87.4) 5-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk 3-18 -15 -13 0.00 408 A Hall-West Hartford 9-13 -4 -7 + 3.48 411 H Old Lyme 16- 9 7 7 -0.09 414 H Notre Dame-West Haven 8- 7 2o 1 3 - -2.67 421 A Guilford 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.60 425 A Cheshire HS 7-14 -7 -6 -0.74 427 H West Haven 18- 5 13 17 0.00 429 A North Haven 11- 8 3 4 -1.42 505 H Amity Regional 14- 9 5 1 + 3.15 507 H Old Saybrook 14-10 4 6 - -2.05 509 A Daniel Hand-Madison 7-19 -12 -6 - -3.53 511 H Fairfield Prep 6-11 -5 -12 ++ 5.00 513 A Wilbur Cross 19- 2 17 22 0.00 516 H Shelton 16-11 5 5 -0.29 519 H Hamden 12- 9 3 0 + 2.55 521 H Xavier 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.40 523 A Guilford 5-13 -8 -4 - -3.40 601 A Avon HS 14-13 o 1 -2 + 3.49 604 A New Fairfield 5-11 -6 -9 + 3.28UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H Notre Dame-West Haven 8- 7 2o 1 3 - -2.67 507 H Old Saybrook 14-10 4 6 - -2.05 509 A Daniel Hand-Madison 7-19 -12 -6 - -3.53 523 A Guilford 5-13 -8 -4 - -3.40OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 511 H Fairfield Prep 6-11 -5 -12 ++ 5.00 408 A Hall-West Hartford 9-13 -4 -7 + 3.48 421 A Guilford 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.60 505 H Amity Regional 14- 9 5 1 + 3.15 519 H Hamden 12- 9 3 0 + 2.55 521 H Xavier 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.40 601 A Avon HS 14-13 o 1 -2 + 3.49 604 A New Fairfield 5-11 -6 -9 + 3.28/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.33 Local Power Rank........... 32 Local SOS Rating......... 57.51 Local SOS Rank............. 25 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 28 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 13 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 40 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3