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Conf = Merrimack Region = MA 1 Nickname = A Indians Coach = Craig FlynnGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.0971985 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Wellesley MA 2 (17- 1, 95.7) 8-11 409 A Tewksbury Memorial MA 2 ( 1-16, 69.9) 18- 1 411 A Dracut MA 2 ( 8-11, 76.9) 18- 3 414 H Duxbury MA 1 (19- 3, 99.9) 9-12 415 H Chelmsford MA 1 ( 9-11, 81.5) 16- 3 418 H Medfield MA 2 (18- 7, 92.4) 11- 2 420 H Boston College HS MA 1 (15- 5, 91.8) 14- 4 422 A Westford Academy MA 1 (15- 7, 87.4) 18- 6 426 H Central Catholic MA 1 ( 4-14, 73.6) 19- 2 429 A Andover HS MA 1 (12- 8, 86.9) 16- 8 503 H Lexington MA 1 (15- 6, 89.5) 14- 3 505 A Lowell MA 1 ( 7-10, 77.1) 18- 4 507 H Greenwich HS CT L (13- 8, 92.7) 11- 8 510 A Beverly MA 2 (13- 6, 84.6) 19- 6 512 A Chelmsford MA 1 ( 9-11, 81.5) 14- 4 516 H Haverhill MA 1 ( 5-12, 75.7) 19- 2 518 A St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 (14- 8, 92.2) 13- 6 520 N Andover HS MA 1 (12- 8, 86.9) 12- 2 523 A Lincoln-Sudbury MA 1 (12- 9, 90.0) 14-10 525 H Xaverian Bros MA 1 ( 6-12, 84.2) 17- 4 604 H Andover HS MA 1 (12- 8, 86.9) 15- 4 608 H Acton Boxborough MA 1 (15- 7, 89.4) 15- 6 611 H Duxbury MA 1 (19- 3, 99.9) 9-19PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Wellesley 8-11 -3 2 -- -5.98 409 A Tewksbury Memorial 18- 1 17 27 0.00 411 A Dracut 18- 3 15 20 0.00 414 H Duxbury 9-12 -3 -1 -1.78 415 H Chelmsford 16- 3 13 17 0.00 418 H Medfield 11- 2 9 6 + 2.69 420 H Boston College HS 14- 4 10 6 + 3.14 422 A Westford Academy 18- 6 12 9 0.36 426 H Central Catholic 19- 2 17 25 0.00 429 A Andover HS 16- 8 8 10 - -2.00 503 H Lexington 14- 3 11 9 0.82 505 A Lowell 18- 4 14 19 0.00 507 H Greenwich HS 11- 8 3 6 n/a 510 A Beverly 19- 6 13 12 0.00 512 A Chelmsford 14- 4 10 15 0.00 516 H Haverhill 19- 2 17 22 0.00 518 A St Johns Prep Danvers 13- 6 7 4 + 2.14 520 N Andover HS 12- 2 10 10 0.00 523 A Lincoln-Sudbury 14-10 4 7 - -3.01 525 H Xaverian Bros 17- 4 13 14 0.00 604 H Andover HS 15- 4 11 11 0.00 608 H Acton Boxborough 15- 6 9 9 -0.31 611 H Duxbury 9-19 -10 -1 --- -8.78UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 611 H Duxbury 9-19 -10 -1 --- -8.78 407 H Wellesley 8-11 -3 2 -- -5.98 429 A Andover HS 16- 8 8 10 - -2.00 507 H Greenwich HS 11- 8 3 6 - 523 A Lincoln-Sudbury 14-10 4 7 - -3.01OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Medfield 11- 2 9 6 + 2.69 420 H Boston College HS 14- 4 10 6 + 3.14 518 A St Johns Prep Danvers 13- 6 7 4 + 2.14/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.85 Local Power Rank........... 2 Local SOS Rating......... 70.39 Local SOS Rank............. 8 Local RPI Rating......... 0.66 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 34.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 20- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3