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Region = VA Nationl Nickname = A Patriots Coach = Greg BeerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.4269333 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 316 H Bishop O'Connell DC WCAC ( 4-15, 81.2) 8-11 318 A McLean VA Liberty ( 1-12, 73.2) 6- 1 322 H Edison VA Nationl ( 6- 9, 78.9) 11- 2 324 H Chantilly VA Concord (11- 5, 96.4) 3-10 328 N Christian Bros MO Div-1 (16- 4, 97.7) 7-14 330 A Lake Mary FL 4B Centrl (13- 5, 89.8) 3- 9 407 H Marshall VA Liberty ( 1-11, 68.2) 12- 1 409 A Washington-Lee VA Nationl (11- 6, 84.7) 8- 5 413 A Westfield VA Concord (12- 5, 95.6) 4-15 415 A J.E.B. Stuart VA Nationl ( 2-10, 70.5) 7- 3 419 H Falls Church VA Nationl ( 3- 9, 73.6) 13- 3 427 A Mount Vernon VA Nationl ( 9- 8, 81.8) 7- 8 o 429 H Hayfield VA Nationl ( 4- 8, 78.7) 10- 2 430 A Wakefield HS VA Nationl ( 0-13, 62.3) 11- 0 506 H Falls Church VA Nationl ( 3- 9, 73.6) 10- 6 510 A Mount Vernon VA Nationl ( 9- 8, 81.8) 8- 4 515 H Washington-Lee VA Nationl (11- 6, 84.7) 8-14 518 H Stone Bridge VA Liberty (10- 5, 93.7) 7-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 H Bishop O'Connell 8-11 -3 3 n/a 318 A McLean 6- 1 5 9 -- -4.56 322 H Edison 11- 2 9 5 + 3.13 324 H Chantilly 3-10 -7 -11 + 3.00 328 N Christian Bros 7-14 -7 -13 n/a 330 A Lake Mary 3- 9 -6 -6 n/a 407 H Marshall 12- 1 11 16 0.00 409 A Washington-Lee 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.96 413 A Westfield 4-15 -11 -12 0.00 415 A J.E.B. Stuart 7- 3 4 12 --- -6.00 419 H Falls Church 13- 3 10 11 0.00 427 A Mount Vernon 7- 8 o -1 0 -1.95 429 H Hayfield 10- 2 8 5 + 2.01 430 A Wakefield HS 11- 0 11 20 0.00 506 H Falls Church 10- 6 4 11 --- -6.00 510 A Mount Vernon 8- 4 4 0 + 3.05 515 H Washington-Lee 8-14 -6 0 --- -6.04 518 H Stone Bridge 7-15 -8 -8 1.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 H Bishop O'Connell 8-11 -3 3 --- 415 A J.E.B. Stuart 7- 3 4 12 --- -6.00 506 H Falls Church 10- 6 4 11 --- -6.00 515 H Washington-Lee 8-14 -6 0 --- -6.04 318 A McLean 6- 1 5 9 -- -4.56OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Washington-Lee 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.96 322 H Edison 11- 2 9 5 + 3.13 324 H Chantilly 3-10 -7 -11 + 3.00 328 N Christian Bros 7-14 -7 -13 + 429 H Hayfield 10- 2 8 5 + 2.01 510 A Mount Vernon 8- 4 4 0 + 3.05/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.74 Local Power Rank........... 16 Local SOS Rating......... 61.60 Local SOS Rank............. 23 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 30 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 15 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3