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Conf = CentMass Region = MA 2 Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Nate SkermontGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.6765442 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Westborough MA 2 ( 5-13, 88.3) 6- 8 403 A Groton-Dunstable MA 2 (16- 3, 99.2) 5-12 406 H Wachusett MA 2 (16- 7, 96.8) 7- 9 410 A Grafton MA 2 (20- 2, 98.9) 8- 9 413 A Algonquin MA 2 (13-10, 94.1) 3- 4 415 A Marlborough MA 2 ( 7-13, 87.6) 2- 3 420 A Haverhill MA 1 ( 4-14, 76.2) 8- 9 422 H Nashoba Regional MA 2 (10-10, 93.7) 9- 8 424 H St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 (16- 5, 99.9) 5- 8 427 H North Middlesex MA 2 (12- 8, 93.7) 9-10 o 429 A Nashoba Regional MA 2 (10-10, 93.7) 4-12 504 H Westborough MA 2 ( 5-13, 88.3) 6- 7 506 A Wachusett MA 2 (16- 7, 96.8) 8- 9 511 H Groton-Dunstable MA 2 (16- 3, 99.2) 4- 9 513 H Algonquin MA 2 (13-10, 94.1) 5- 4 o 518 H Marlborough MA 2 ( 7-13, 87.6) 9- 6 520 A North Middlesex MA 2 (12- 8, 93.7) 6- 7 o 522 A Tantasqua Regional MA 2 ( 5-15, 81.6) 10- 5 524 H Nipmuc Regional MA 2 (11-10, 85.6) 8- 4 526 H Shepherd Hill MA 2 ( 6-12, 80.0) 13- 3PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Westborough 6- 8 -2 0 -1.87 403 A Groton-Dunstable 5-12 -7 -11 + 3.00 406 H Wachusett 7- 9 -2 -6 ++ 4.97 410 A Grafton 8- 9 -1 -10 +++ 9.00 413 A Algonquin 3- 4 -1 -5 ++ 4.93 415 A Marlborough 2- 3 -1 0 -1.56 420 A Haverhill 8- 9 -1 11 n/a 422 H Nashoba Regional 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.80 424 H St Johns Shrewsbury 5- 8 -3 -10 +++ 7.00 427 H North Middlesex 9-10 o -1 -3 + 2.85 429 A Nashoba Regional 4-12 -8 -5 - -2.48 504 H Westborough 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.59 506 A Wachusett 8- 9 -1 -8 +++ 7.70 511 H Groton-Dunstable 4- 9 -5 -9 ++ 4.29 513 H Algonquin 5- 4 o 1 -4 ++ 5.21 518 H Marlborough 9- 6 3 2 0.71 520 A North Middlesex 6- 7 o -1 -5 ++ 4.57 522 A Tantasqua Regional 10- 5 5 6 -1.54 524 H Nipmuc Regional 8- 4 4 4 -0.23 526 H Shepherd Hill 13- 3 10 9 0.13UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 A Haverhill 8- 9 -1 11 --- 429 A Nashoba Regional 4-12 -8 -5 - -2.48 504 H Westborough 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.59OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Grafton 8- 9 -1 -10 +++ 9.00 424 H St Johns Shrewsbury 5- 8 -3 -10 +++ 7.00 506 A Wachusett 8- 9 -1 -8 +++ 7.70 406 H Wachusett 7- 9 -2 -6 ++ 4.97 413 A Algonquin 3- 4 -1 -5 ++ 4.93 422 H Nashoba Regional 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.80 511 H Groton-Dunstable 4- 9 -5 -9 ++ 4.29 513 H Algonquin 5- 4 o 1 -4 ++ 5.21 520 A North Middlesex 6- 7 o -1 -5 ++ 4.57 403 A Groton-Dunstable 5-12 -7 -11 + 3.00 427 H North Middlesex 9-10 o -1 -3 + 2.85/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.00 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 80.74 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 19 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-14 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.4 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.3