Norfolk Collegiate            4 - 8


 
                                     Region = VA 2  Tidewtr          
   Nickname = A Oaks                 Coach  =   Bryan Smith           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   87.2712936    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Cape Henry Collegiate  VA 2  Tidewtr ( 8-11, 88.9)     3- 8   
 401 H Bishop Sullivan        VA 1  Tidewtr (10- 8, 89.4)     5-12   
 408 H Louisville St Xavier   KY    Div-1   (14- 7, 98.0)     6-13   
 413 A Norfolk Academy        VA 1  Tidewtr (15- 7, 95.5)     6-14   
 415 A Hampton Roads Academy  VA 2  Tidewtr (10- 7, 91.3)     5-10   
 417 A Maury LC               VA    Beach   ( 6- 6, 80.9)    13- 3   
 419 H First Flight           NC    Indep   ( 4-10, 78.0)    10- 4   
 420 A Walsingham Academy     VA 2  Tidewtr ( 1- 9, 78.2)     5- 2   
 426 H Benedictine            VA 1  Indep   ( 5-11, 81.9)     7- 6   
 427 H Christchurch           VA 2  VIC     (17- 6, 93.6)     6- 9   
 429 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad VA 2  Tidewtr (10- 5, 95.6)     3-17   
 504 A Cape Henry Collegiate  VA 2  Tidewtr ( 8-11, 88.9)     3-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Cape Henry Collegiate   3- 8      -5    -1    -     -3.62
   401 H Bishop Sullivan         5-12      -7    -2          n/a  
   408 H Louisville St Xavier    6-13      -7   -11          n/a  
   413 A Norfolk Academy         6-14      -8   -13          n/a  
   415 A Hampton Roads Academy   5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.76
   417 A Maury LC               13- 3      10     1          n/a  
   419 H First Flight           10- 4       6     8          n/a  
   420 A Walsingham Academy      5- 2       3     3          -0.35
   426 H Benedictine             7- 6       1     4          n/a  
   427 H Christchurch            6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.06
   429 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad  3-17     -14   -14           0.00
   504 A Cape Henry Collegiate   3-11      -8    -7          -0.62


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Bishop Sullivan         5-12      -7    -2    --         
   327 H Cape Henry Collegiate   3- 8      -5    -1    -     -3.62
   419 H First Flight           10- 4       6     8    -          
   426 H Benedictine             7- 6       1     4    -          


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Maury LC               13- 3      10     1    +++        
   415 A Hampton Roads Academy   5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.76
   408 H Louisville St Xavier    6-13      -7   -11    +          
   413 A Norfolk Academy         6-14      -8   -13    +          
   427 H Christchurch            6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.06




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.55 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.18 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3


  
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