New Bern                      7 - 9


 
                                     Region = NC    Conf-01          
   Nickname = C Bears                                                 



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   81.4649811    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 A Wilmington Laney       NC    Conf-01 ( 4-10, 79.3)     4-12   
 305 H Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 ( 4-11, 79.2)     2-12   
 310 H Parrott Academy        NC    Prvate  ( 1-11, 66.9)    11- 2   
 313 A Cape Fear LC           NC    Indep   ( 0- 6, 84.5)     9- 4   
 319 H Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 (11- 7, 87.4)     4-14   
 322 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Conf-01 (13- 5, 93.4)     2-15   
 323 A Havelock               NC    ECLL    (11- 4, 95.3)    10- 6   
 325 H Wilmington Laney       NC    Conf-01 ( 4-10, 79.3)     2- 7   
 413 H Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Conf-01 (13- 5, 93.4)     0-12   
 416 A Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 (11- 7, 87.4)     6-14   
 420 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 ( 4-11, 79.2)     4- 9   
 423 A Parrott Academy        NC    Prvate  ( 1-11, 66.9)     8- 6   
 430 H West Craven            NC    ECLL    ( 0- 3, 70.1)    13- 0   
 504 A West Craven            NC    ECLL    ( 0- 3, 70.1)    14- 2   
 505 H Craven Early College   NC    ECLL    ( 0- 7, 81.9)    15- 2   
 506 H Havelock               NC    ECLL    (11- 4, 95.3)     9-10   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Wilmington Laney        4-12      -8     1    ---   -9.56
   305 H Wilmington New Hanover  2-12     -10     3    ---  -13.10
   310 H Parrott Academy        11- 2       9    15          n/a  
   313 A Cape Fear LC            9- 4       5    -3          n/a  
   319 H Wilmington Ashley       4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.85
   322 A Wilmington Hoggard      2-15     -13   -12           0.00
   323 A Havelock               10- 6       4   -14          n/a  
   325 H Wilmington Laney        2- 7      -5     2    ---   -7.96
   413 H Wilmington Hoggard      0-12     -12   -11           0.00
   416 A Wilmington Ashley       6-14      -8    -6          -1.46
   420 A Wilmington New Hanover  4- 9      -5     1    ---   -6.70
   423 A Parrott Academy         8- 6       2    14          n/a  
   430 H West Craven            13- 0      13    12          n/a  
   504 A West Craven            14- 2      12    10          n/a  
   505 H Craven Early College   15- 2      13     0          n/a  
   506 H Havelock                9-10      -1   -12          n/a  


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Wilmington Laney        4-12      -8     1    ---   -9.56
   305 H Wilmington New Hanover  2-12     -10     3    ---  -13.10
   325 H Wilmington Laney        2- 7      -5     2    ---   -7.96
   420 A Wilmington New Hanover  4- 9      -5     1    ---   -6.70
   423 A Parrott Academy         8- 6       2    14    ---        
   319 H Wilmington Ashley       4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.85


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Cape Fear LC            9- 4       5    -3    +++        
   323 A Havelock               10- 6       4   -14    +++        
   505 H Craven Early College   15- 2      13     0    +++        
   506 H Havelock                9-10      -1   -12    +++        




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.59 Local Power Rank...........    41
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.15 Local SOS Rank.............    50
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.31 Local RPI Rank.............    62
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    52
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.0


  
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