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Region = WA 1 SoWest Nickname = A Bears Coach = Vern SmithGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.6262665 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 312 A Churchill OR Willim (11- 9, 81.8) 10-11 313 A Sheldon OR Willim (17- 4, 89.8) 7-11 320 A Curtis WA 1 SoWest ( 8-10, 84.4) 4-12 325 A Stadium-Wilson WA 1 SoWest ( 5-10, 75.3) 3- 4 327 A Kings Way Christian WA 1 SoWest (12- 4, 87.8) 4-10 403 A Puyallup WA 1 SoWest ( 8- 7, 85.2) 9-13 406 H Lynnwood WA 2 Cascade (16- 3, 99.8) 10- 6 414 A Eastlake WA 1 NoEast ( 7- 8, 83.0) 7- 8 416 H Lakeside WA 1 NoEast ( 7- 7, 81.1) 15-14 o 420 A Eastside Catholic WA 1 NoEast ( 2-13, 72.6) 7- 8 422 H Mukilteo WA 1 NoEast ( 8-10, 82.9) 6-10 427 H Tacoma WA 1 SoWest ( 5-10, 77.0) 10-14 430 H Bainbridge Island WA 1 SoWest (13- 9, 88.8) 8-12 505 H Overlake WA 1 NoEast ( 9- 7, 84.4) 4-11 508 H Lake Tapps WA 1 SoWest ( 0-14, 65.2) 18- 8 511 A Vashon Island WA 1 SoWest ( 2-12, 71.7) 11-12 514 H Seattle Prep WA 1 SoWest ( 4-12, 77.1) 8- 5PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 A Churchill 10-11 -1 -5 n/a 313 A Sheldon 7-11 -4 -13 n/a 320 A Curtis 4-12 -8 -8 0.13 325 A Stadium-Wilson 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.01 327 A Kings Way Christian 4-10 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 403 A Puyallup 9-13 -4 -8 ++ 4.93 406 H Lynnwood 10- 6 4 -21 n/a 414 A Eastlake 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.67 416 H Lakeside 15-14 o 1 -3 ++ 4.29 420 A Eastside Catholic 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.74 422 H Mukilteo 6-10 -4 -5 1.08 427 H Tacoma 10-14 -4 0 -- -4.84 430 H Bainbridge Island 8-12 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 505 H Overlake 4-11 -7 -6 -0.42 508 H Lake Tapps 18- 8 10 12 0.00 511 A Vashon Island 11-12 -1 4 -- -5.65 514 H Seattle Prep 8- 5 3 0 + 2.28UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 A Eastside Catholic 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.74 427 H Tacoma 10-14 -4 0 -- -4.84 511 A Vashon Island 11-12 -1 4 -- -5.65 325 A Stadium-Wilson 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.01OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Sheldon 7-11 -4 -13 +++ 406 H Lynnwood 10- 6 4 -21 +++ 430 H Bainbridge Island 8-12 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 312 A Churchill 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 327 A Kings Way Christian 4-10 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 403 A Puyallup 9-13 -4 -8 ++ 4.93 414 A Eastlake 7- 8 -1 -6 ++ 5.67 416 H Lakeside 15-14 o 1 -3 ++ 4.29 514 H Seattle Prep 8- 5 3 0 + 2.28/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 77.08 Local Power Rank........... 15 Local SOS Rating......... 61.27 Local SOS Rank............. 16 Local RPI Rating......... 0.36 Local RPI Rank............. 19 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 19 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 19 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4-13 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0