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Conf = WestMass Region = MA 2 Nickname = A Lancers Coach = John RauseoGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.2893219 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Belchertown MA 2 ( 0-16, 71.8) 14- 1 405 H Cathedral Springfield MA 2 ( 3-14, 78.5) 18- 2 406 H Northampton MA 2 (14- 7, 92.0) 10- 6 409 A Minnechaug MA 2 (10-10, 89.5) 14- 6 413 H West Springfield MA 2 (16- 2, 99.9) 8-11 414 A Deerfield NE 1 West (15- 1, 99.9) 4-21 419 A Westfield MA 2 ( 6-12, 85.4) 12- 8 422 H Minnechaug MA 2 (10-10, 89.5) 8- 5 424 A Pinkerton NH 1 (14- 5, 92.2) 11-12 o 427 A East Longmeadow MA 2 ( 8-11, 86.4) 10- 2 430 H Amherst-Pelham MA 2 ( 7-11, 85.5) 15- 2 502 A Medfield MA 2 (19- 5, 95.5) 9-20 504 A Agawam MA 2 ( 8-12, 84.9) 14- 2 507 H South Hadley MA 2 (18- 2, 97.7) 12-13 o 512 A Cheshire HS CT L (21- 2, 99.4) 2-13 514 A South Hadley MA 2 (18- 2, 97.7) 9-12 518 H Westfield MA 2 ( 6-12, 85.4) 11- 6 521 A Amherst-Pelham MA 2 ( 7-11, 85.5) 9- 8 o 524 H St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 (16- 5, 99.9) 9- 7 526 H Algonquin MA 2 (13-10, 94.1) 9- 5 604 H East Longmeadow MA 2 ( 8-11, 86.4) 14- 8 607 A West Springfield MA 2 (16- 2, 99.9) 7- 6 o 611 N South Hadley MA 2 (18- 2, 97.7) 9- 5 615 N St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 (16- 5, 99.9) 12-11 4o 619 N Medfield MA 2 (19- 5, 95.5) 6-19PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Belchertown 14- 1 13 22 0.00 405 H Cathedral Springfield 18- 2 16 16 0.00 406 H Northampton 10- 6 4 3 0.96 409 A Minnechaug 14- 6 8 4 + 3.29 413 H West Springfield 8-11 -3 -4 1.81 414 A Deerfield 4-21 -17 -5 n/a 419 A Westfield 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.79 422 H Minnechaug 8- 5 3 5 - -2.60 424 A Pinkerton 11-12 o -1 1 n/a 427 A East Longmeadow 10- 2 8 7 0.20 430 H Amherst-Pelham 15- 2 13 9 0.45 502 A Medfield 9-20 -11 -1 n/a 504 A Agawam 14- 2 12 9 0.70 507 H South Hadley 12-13 o -1 -2 1.63 512 A Cheshire HS 2-13 -11 -5 n/a 514 A South Hadley 9-12 -3 -3 0.52 518 H Westfield 11- 6 5 9 -- -4.69 521 A Amherst-Pelham 9- 8 o 1 8 --- -7.65 524 H St Johns Shrewsbury 9- 7 2 -4 n/a 526 H Algonquin 9- 5 4 1 n/a 604 H East Longmeadow 14- 8 6 8 - -2.69 607 A West Springfield 7- 6 o 1 -5 +++ 6.70 611 N South Hadley 9- 5 4 -3 +++ 7.08 615 N St Johns Shrewsbury 12-11 4o 1 -5 n/a 619 N Medfield 6-19 -13 0 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 A Medfield 9-20 -11 -1 --- 521 A Amherst-Pelham 9- 8 o 1 8 --- -7.65 619 N Medfield 6-19 -13 0 --- 414 A Deerfield 4-21 -17 -5 -- 419 A Westfield 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.79 512 A Cheshire HS 2-13 -11 -5 -- 518 H Westfield 11- 6 5 9 -- -4.69 422 H Minnechaug 8- 5 3 5 - -2.60 424 A Pinkerton 11-12 o -1 1 - 604 H East Longmeadow 14- 8 6 8 - -2.69OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 524 H St Johns Shrewsbury 9- 7 2 -4 +++ 607 A West Springfield 7- 6 o 1 -5 +++ 6.70 611 N South Hadley 9- 5 4 -3 +++ 7.08 615 N St Johns Shrewsbury 12-11 4o 1 -5 +++ 409 A Minnechaug 14- 6 8 4 + 3.29 526 H Algonquin 9- 5 4 1 +/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.64 Local Power Rank........... 3 Local SOS Rating......... 81.30 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 23.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.285.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.9 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7