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Region = PA LL02 Nickname = A Bears Coach = Jeremy AdamsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.3838806 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Central Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 6- 8, 81.3) 7- 6 331 A Garden Spot PA LL02 ( 0-18, 64.6) 16- 0 401 H Lampeter-Strasburg PA LL02 ( 3-14, 77.3) 13- 2 406 A Conestoga Valley PA LL02 (11- 7, 86.1) 5- 4 o 408 A Ephrata PA LL02 (15- 6, 94.0) 2-10 410 H Lower Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 7-11, 80.7) 15- 2 412 H Cocalico PA LL02 ( 5-12, 78.9) 13- 7 414 A Warwick PA LL01 (12- 7, 92.3) 3- 9 417 A Manheim Township PA LL01 (22- 5, 99.8) 0-15 419 A Lancaster Mennonite PA Indep ( 7- 7, 75.2) 12- 3 420 A Hempfield PA LL01 (23- 2, 99.9) 5-18 423 H Lancaster Cou Day PA LL01 ( 4-14, 76.7) 14- 4 427 H Penn Manor PA LL01 ( 9- 9, 88.3) 3- 4 429 H Garden Spot PA LL02 ( 0-18, 64.6) 15- 0 504 A Lampeter-Strasburg PA LL02 ( 3-14, 77.3) 4- 3 o 506 H Conestoga Valley PA LL02 (11- 7, 86.1) 8- 5 507 H Ephrata PA LL02 (15- 6, 94.0) 6- 9 510 A Cocalico PA LL02 ( 5-12, 78.9) 16-10 512 N Manheim Township PA LL01 (22- 5, 99.8) 2-17 518 A Susquehannock PA York 2 (16- 2, 94.5) 6- 5 522 N Carlisle PA Mid 1 (15- 6, 89.6) 6- 5 525 A Manheim Township PA LL01 (22- 5, 99.8) 1-16 527 N Conrad Weiser PA Berks (21- 4, 92.6) 7- 3 601 N Franklin Regional PA Div1-S1 (10-12, 87.6) 6- 7 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Central Dauphin 7- 6 1 7 --- -6.68 331 A Garden Spot 16- 0 16 22 0.00 401 H Lampeter-Strasburg 13- 2 11 11 0.00 406 A Conestoga Valley 5- 4 o 1 1 -0.30 408 A Ephrata 2-10 -8 -6 -1.35 410 H Lower Dauphin 15- 2 13 8 1.71 412 H Cocalico 13- 7 6 9 - -3.99 414 A Warwick 3- 9 -6 -4 -1.06 417 A Manheim Township 0-15 -15 -12 0.00 419 A Lancaster Mennonite 12- 3 9 12 -1.00 420 A Hempfield 5-18 -13 -12 0.00 423 H Lancaster Cou Day 14- 4 10 12 0.00 427 H Penn Manor 3- 4 -1 0 -1.63 429 H Garden Spot 15- 0 15 24 0.00 504 A Lampeter-Strasburg 4- 3 o 1 10 --- -9.00 506 H Conestoga Valley 8- 5 3 2 0.11 507 H Ephrata 6- 9 -3 -5 + 2.07 510 A Cocalico 16-10 6 8 - -2.41 512 N Manheim Township 2-17 -15 -11 0.00 518 A Susquehannock 6- 5 1 -7 +++ 8.18 522 N Carlisle 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.47 525 A Manheim Township 1-16 -15 -12 0.00 527 N Conrad Weiser 7- 3 4 -4 +++ 8.48 601 N Franklin Regional 6- 7 o -1 0 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Central Dauphin 7- 6 1 7 --- -6.68 504 A Lampeter-Strasburg 4- 3 o 1 10 --- -9.00 412 H Cocalico 13- 7 6 9 - -3.99 510 A Cocalico 16-10 6 8 - -2.41OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 518 A Susquehannock 6- 5 1 -7 +++ 8.18 527 N Conrad Weiser 7- 3 4 -4 +++ 8.48 507 H Ephrata 6- 9 -3 -5 + 2.07 522 N Carlisle 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.47/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.15 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 70.02 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 23 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0