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Region = NC Conf-04 Nickname = C Falcons Coach = Jamie SliwaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.9822006 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 301 H Panther Creek NC Conf-02 ( 6-10, 84.4) 7- 6 305 A Carrboro NC Conf-05 (10- 6, 86.1) 4- 6 309 A Cedar Ridge NC Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 84.2) 7- 2 316 A Northern Durham NC Conf-04 ( 5- 6, 81.1) 14- 7 318 H Durham Riverside NC Conf-04 ( 9- 7, 86.8) 9- 4 320 N Severn MD A MIAA-R ( 5-15, 86.5) 1-14 325 H Chapel Hill NC Conf-05 (10- 6, 93.7) 8-12 326 A Roxboro Community Sch NC Conf-04 ( 2-11, 67.9) 17- 1 330 H J.F. Webb NC Conf-04 ( 0-12, 64.5) 19- 0 401 A J.F. Webb NC Conf-04 ( 0-12, 64.5) 19- 0 413 H Northern Durham NC Conf-04 ( 5- 6, 81.1) 12- 3 416 A Durham Riverside NC Conf-04 ( 9- 7, 86.8) 15- 6 419 H W.G. Enloe NC Conf-03 ( 7- 8, 85.6) 12- 7 421 A Cary Academy NC Prvate ( 9- 8, 83.8) 15-10 422 H Roxboro Community Sch NC Conf-04 ( 2-11, 67.9) 17- 0 429 H Cedar Ridge NC Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 84.2) 14- 6 504 A East Chapel Hill NC Conf-05 (20- 1, 99.9) 9-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Panther Creek 7- 6 1 7 --- -6.69 305 A Carrboro 4- 6 -2 4 --- -6.65 309 A Cedar Ridge 7- 2 5 6 -1.55 316 A Northern Durham 14- 7 7 9 - -2.59 318 H Durham Riverside 9- 4 5 5 -0.35 320 N Severn 1-14 -13 4 n/a 325 H Chapel Hill 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.36 326 A Roxboro Community Sch 17- 1 16 22 0.00 330 H J.F. Webb 19- 0 19 27 0.00 401 A J.F. Webb 19- 0 19 26 0.00 413 H Northern Durham 12- 3 9 10 -1.00 416 A Durham Riverside 15- 6 9 3 ++ 5.04 419 H W.G. Enloe 12- 7 5 6 -1.54 421 A Cary Academy 15-10 5 7 n/a 422 H Roxboro Community Sch 17- 0 17 24 0.00 429 H Cedar Ridge 14- 6 8 7 0.06 504 A East Chapel Hill 9-13 -4 -9 ++ 5.18UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Panther Creek 7- 6 1 7 --- -6.69 305 A Carrboro 4- 6 -2 4 --- -6.65 320 N Severn 1-14 -13 4 --- 316 A Northern Durham 14- 7 7 9 - -2.59 325 H Chapel Hill 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.36 421 A Cary Academy 15-10 5 7 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A Durham Riverside 15- 6 9 3 ++ 5.04 504 A East Chapel Hill 9-13 -4 -9 ++ 5.18/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.41 Local Power Rank........... 16 Local SOS Rating......... 61.89 Local SOS Rank............. 51 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 19 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 13 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 7.0