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Region = PA LL01 Nickname = A Black Knights Coach = Doug BaileyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.3551178 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 327 H Easton PA LehighV ( 8- 9, 81.4) 10- 8 331 H Lancaster Cou Day PA LL01 ( 4-14, 76.7) 16- 2 405 A Manheim Township PA LL01 (22- 5, 99.8) 9-14 407 A Penn Manor PA LL01 ( 9- 9, 88.3) 8- 3 409 H Warwick PA LL01 (12- 7, 92.3) 10- 5 413 H Conestoga Valley PA LL02 (11- 7, 86.1) 13- 1 415 A Garden Spot PA LL02 ( 0-18, 64.6) 19- 0 417 H North Allegheny PA Div1-S2 (12- 7, 94.1) 16- 6 419 H Cocalico PA LL02 ( 5-12, 78.9) 17- 0 420 H Elizabethtown PA LL02 (15- 9, 88.1) 18- 5 422 A Ephrata PA LL02 (15- 6, 94.0) 8- 5 424 H Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 (13- 6, 89.4) 11- 2 426 A Lampeter-Strasburg PA LL02 ( 3-14, 77.3) 14- 3 430 A Carlisle PA Mid 1 (15- 6, 89.6) 13- 1 503 A Lancaster Cou Day PA LL01 ( 4-14, 76.7) 18- 2 505 H Manheim Township PA LL01 (22- 5, 99.8) 11- 7 507 H Penn Manor PA LL01 ( 9- 9, 88.3) 10- 1 510 A Warwick PA LL01 (12- 7, 92.3) 6- 4 512 N Ephrata PA LL02 (15- 6, 94.0) 6- 4 515 N Manheim Township PA LL01 (22- 5, 99.8) 8- 6 518 H Warwick PA LL01 (12- 7, 92.3) 7- 5 522 N Ephrata PA LL02 (15- 6, 94.0) 5- 2 525 N Conrad Weiser PA Berks (21- 4, 92.6) 9- 3 527 N Manheim Township PA LL01 (22- 5, 99.8) 7- 5 601 N Seneca Valley PA Div1-S2 (20- 3, 99.9) 9-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Easton 10- 8 2 19 n/a 331 H Lancaster Cou Day 16- 2 14 23 0.00 405 A Manheim Township 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.32 407 A Penn Manor 8- 3 5 10 -- -5.00 409 H Warwick 10- 5 5 8 - -3.39 413 H Conestoga Valley 13- 1 12 14 0.00 415 A Garden Spot 19- 0 19 34 0.00 417 H North Allegheny 16- 6 10 6 n/a 419 H Cocalico 17- 0 17 21 0.00 420 H Elizabethtown 18- 5 13 12 0.00 422 A Ephrata 8- 5 3 5 - -2.10 424 H Cumberland Valley 11- 2 9 11 -1.00 426 A Lampeter-Strasburg 14- 3 11 21 0.00 430 A Carlisle 13- 1 12 9 0.51 503 A Lancaster Cou Day 18- 2 16 22 0.00 505 H Manheim Township 11- 7 4 0 + 3.09 507 H Penn Manor 10- 1 9 12 -1.00 510 A Warwick 6- 4 2 6 -- -4.81 512 N Ephrata 6- 4 2 5 - -3.89 515 N Manheim Township 8- 6 2 0 1.89 518 H Warwick 7- 5 2 8 --- -6.39 522 N Ephrata 5- 2 3 5 - -2.89 525 N Conrad Weiser 9- 3 6 7 -1.27 527 N Manheim Township 7- 5 2 0 1.89 601 N Seneca Valley 9-12 -3 0 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Easton 10- 8 2 19 --- 518 H Warwick 7- 5 2 8 --- -6.39 405 A Manheim Township 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.32 407 A Penn Manor 8- 3 5 10 -- -5.00 510 A Warwick 6- 4 2 6 -- -4.81 409 H Warwick 10- 5 5 8 - -3.39 422 A Ephrata 8- 5 3 5 - -2.10 512 N Ephrata 6- 4 2 5 - -3.89 522 N Ephrata 5- 2 3 5 - -2.89 601 N Seneca Valley 9-12 -3 0 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H North Allegheny 16- 6 10 6 + 505 H Manheim Township 11- 7 4 0 + 3.09/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank........... 1 Local SOS Rating......... 76.51 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.72 Local RPI Rank............. 1 Championship Probability . 27.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.370.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 1 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 4.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 23- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 14- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.1 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 16- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7