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Conf = North Shore Region = MA 2 Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Tim MurphyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.6154938 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 330 H Bishop Fenwick MA 3 ( 5-13, 69.9) 17- 6 401 A Wakefield MA 2 ( 9-10, 83.3) 7-14 408 H Hamilton-Wenham MA 3 (15- 5, 87.9) 9-12 412 H Marblehead MA 2 (14- 6, 86.8) 4- 8 415 A Peabody MA 1 ( 6-12, 77.7) 6-11 419 H Salem MA 1 ( 6-14, 71.3) 10- 1 421 A Pentucket MA 2 ( 9- 9, 80.3) 5- 4 423 A Manchester-Essex MA 3 (14- 6, 82.5) 9- 7 426 H Beverly MA 2 (17- 6, 89.1) 9-17 429 A Saugus MA 2 ( 3-14, 64.3) 24- 4 503 H Swampscott MA 3 ( 7-12, 73.9) 13- 5 506 A Lynn-Classical/English MA 1 ( 2-15, 60.8) 14- 2 508 A Melrose MA 2 ( 3-17, 73.6) 9- 7 510 A Gloucester MA 2 ( 7-10, 79.6) 6- 5 513 H Peabody MA 1 ( 6-12, 77.7) 19- 6 517 H Gloucester MA 2 ( 7-10, 79.6) 15- 8 520 A Marblehead MA 2 (14- 6, 86.8) 4- 8 524 A Beverly MA 2 (17- 6, 89.1) 6-13 525 A Medford MA 1 (10- 7, 77.3) 13- 5 527 H Masconomet MA 1 (18- 4, 92.2) 4-12 602 A Falmouth HS MA 2 (14- 7, 86.6) 2- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Bishop Fenwick 17- 6 11 13 0.00 401 A Wakefield 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.33 408 H Hamilton-Wenham 9-12 -3 -4 1.41 412 H Marblehead 4- 8 -4 -3 -0.70 415 A Peabody 6-11 -5 4 --- -9.01 419 H Salem 10- 1 9 12 -1.00 421 A Pentucket 5- 4 1 1 -0.38 423 A Manchester-Essex 9- 7 2 0 + 2.88 426 H Beverly 9-17 -8 -5 - -2.34 429 A Saugus 24- 4 20 17 0.00 503 H Swampscott 13- 5 8 9 -1.60 506 A Lynn-Classical/English 14- 2 12 20 0.00 508 A Melrose 9- 7 2 8 --- -6.09 510 A Gloucester 6- 5 1 2 -1.02 513 H Peabody 19- 6 13 5 ++ 4.19 517 H Gloucester 15- 8 7 3 + 3.17 520 A Marblehead 4- 8 -4 -5 1.10 524 A Beverly 6-13 -7 -7 0.47 525 A Medford 13- 5 8 4 + 3.60 527 H Masconomet 4-12 -8 -8 0.78 602 A Falmouth HS 2- 7 -5 -4 -0.01UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A Peabody 6-11 -5 4 --- -9.01 508 A Melrose 9- 7 2 8 --- -6.09 401 A Wakefield 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.33 426 H Beverly 9-17 -8 -5 - -2.34OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 H Peabody 19- 6 13 5 ++ 4.19 423 A Manchester-Essex 9- 7 2 0 + 2.88 517 H Gloucester 15- 8 7 3 + 3.17 525 A Medford 13- 5 8 4 + 3.60/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.57 Local Power Rank........... 60 Local SOS Rating......... 57.54 Local SOS Rank............. 86 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 62 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 49 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 75 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7