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Conf = NWCIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Scott KossbielGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.9460449 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Valley Regional CT S ( 9- 8, 74.8) 17- 3 409 H Hall-West Hartford CT L (10- 8, 84.1) 8-10 413 H Granby Memorial CT S ( 6-12, 74.9) 8- 3 415 A Somers CT S ( 9- 9, 80.6) 9- 8 2o 417 A Tolland CT S ( 8- 9, 76.3) 14- 4 421 H Southington CT L ( 9- 8, 85.3) 9-13 423 A Ellington CT S (15- 4, 83.9) 7- 9 430 H Suffield HS CT S (10- 9, 79.6) 13- 9 505 A Granby Memorial CT S ( 6-12, 74.9) 10- 2 517 A Conard-West Hartford CT M (13- 6, 87.1) 8- 9 o 520 H Somers CT S ( 9- 9, 80.6) 7- 8 o 522 A Suffield HS CT S (10- 9, 79.6) 9- 4 524 A Farmington CT M ( 6-10, 74.8) 9- 3 525 H Ellington CT S (15- 4, 83.9) 7- 8 527 H Newington CT L ( 9- 9, 78.5) 13- 2 528 H Suffield HS CT S (10- 9, 79.6) 9-11 603 A Brookfield CT M (11- 7, 84.9) 9- 8 o 605 A New Fairfield CT M (19- 3, 93.8) 3-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Valley Regional 17- 3 14 9 0.62 409 H Hall-West Hartford 8-10 -2 0 - -2.05 413 H Granby Memorial 8- 3 5 9 -- -4.25 415 A Somers 9- 8 2o 1 1 -0.78 417 A Tolland 14- 4 10 6 + 3.99 421 H Southington 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.91 423 A Ellington 7- 9 -2 -1 -0.43 430 H Suffield HS 13- 9 4 4 -0.56 505 A Granby Memorial 10- 2 8 7 0.60 517 A Conard-West Hartford 8- 9 o -1 -4 + 3.78 520 H Somers 7- 8 o -1 3 -- -4.63 522 A Suffield HS 9- 4 5 2 + 2.29 524 A Farmington 9- 3 6 7 -1.50 525 H Ellington 7- 8 -1 0 -1.28 527 H Newington 13- 2 11 5 ++ 4.36 528 H Suffield HS 9-11 -2 4 --- -6.56 603 A Brookfield 9- 8 o 1 -2 + 3.58 605 A New Fairfield 3-14 -11 -11 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 528 H Suffield HS 9-11 -2 4 --- -6.56 413 H Granby Memorial 8- 3 5 9 -- -4.25 520 H Somers 7- 8 o -1 3 -- -4.63 409 H Hall-West Hartford 8-10 -2 0 - -2.05 421 H Southington 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.91OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 527 H Newington 13- 2 11 5 ++ 4.36 417 A Tolland 14- 4 10 6 + 3.99 517 A Conard-West Hartford 8- 9 o -1 -4 + 3.78 522 A Suffield HS 9- 4 5 2 + 2.29 603 A Brookfield 9- 8 o 1 -2 + 3.58/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.26 Local Power Rank........... 32 Local SOS Rating......... 59.41 Local SOS Rank............. 40 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 25 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 11 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 39 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -11.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0