boys probababilites for 32
 
 

2009 boys Maryland MPSSAA 4321

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Hereford 19 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 3 28.00 2 South River 18 1 2 7 1 5 2 2 9 10.00 3 Wootton 17 1 8 43 8 2 6 3 11 0.10 4 Towson 13 2 5 4 4 3 9 4 16 4.00 5 Sherwood 11 3 30 72 27 9 10 9 28 0.10 6 Catonsville 14 4 6 5 5 6 17 6 29 3.00 7 Fallston 15 3 4 26 6 4 22 5 31 15.00 8 Centennial 15 4 13 17 12 14 4 20 38 2.00 9 Century 12 4 16 18 11 12 7 21 40 3.00 10 Churchill 8 4 49 66 38 11 15 22 48 0.10 11 Pikesville 15 3 12 19 9 10 28 11 49 0.10 12 Whitman 11 4 45 65 29 8 37 8 53 0.10 13 Walter Johnson 10 3 37 78 30 15 23 16 54 0.10 14 Glenelg HS 14 4 9 30 14 23 30 12 65 1.00 15 Urbana 13 6 14 3 13 7 46 15 68 3.00 16 Queen Annes Coun 14 5 18 59 32 28 5 37 70 1.00 17 Franklin 7 9 46 2 43 22 3 46 71 0.10 18 Severna Park 14 3 3 16 3 13 55 7 75 24.00 19 Quince Orchard 10 5 44 74 37 26 20 32 78 0.10 20 Dulaney 9 9 21 10 24 21 31 27 79 3.00 21 South Carroll 12 2 11 29 21 17 47 24 88 0.10 22 North Harford 6 8 51 8 40 16 29 44 89 0.10 23 Bethesda/Chevy C 7 7 54 56 50 18 39 33 90 0.10 24 Walkersville 12 3 23 62 22 30 36 25 91 0.10 25 Chesapeake-BC 13 1 36 123 16 25 62 14 101 0.10 26 Parkside 14 2 17 82 18 35 45 23 103 0.10 27 North Carroll 7 8 27 9 63 32 14 58 104 0.10 28 Poly-Baltimore 10 4 80 114 33 36 35 36 107 0.10 29 Broadneck 12 5 10 15 7 27 72 10 109 3.00 30 Bel Air 9 7 34 53 53 44 21 45 110 0.10 31 CM Wright 12 4 26 21 23 20 71 26 117 0.10 32 Owings Mills 8 5 41 50 36 42 43 35 120 0.10 33 Atholton 9 6 29 34 39 48 25 49 122 0.10 34 Gaithersburg 7 5 63 77 54 41 44 40 125 0.10 35 Liberty 9 7 38 37 52 39 27 62 128 0.10 36 Loch Raven 9 6 39 35 47 34 57 39 130 0.10 37 Joppatowne 9 6 62 81 55 47 33 52 132 0.10 38 Winters Mill 9 7 28 47 58 52 18 65 135 0.10 39 Old Mill 8 7 24 20 45 56 24 56 136 0.10 40 Westminster 8 7 33 22 57 33 34 69 136 0.10 41 River Hill 9 8 40 39 64 57 13 72 142 0.10 42 Eastern Tech 8 10 59 41 88 50 8 85 143 0.10 43 Patterson Mill 11 7 60 79 70 49 32 64 145 0.10 44 Kent Island 10 4 22 75 35 46 59 41 146 0.10 45 Marriott's Ridge 13 4 15 28 15 19 110 17 146 0.10 46 Huntingtown 12 2 7 73 10 24 112 13 149 0.10 47 Easton 14 4 20 58 25 29 94 29 152 0.10 48 City-Baltimore 11 1 61 138 17 31 104 18 153 0.10 49 Overlea 8 5 92 104 48 55 53 47 155 0.10 50 Annapolis 7 9 42 13 72 59 11 88 158 0.10 51 Kenwood 10 5 75 110 44 53 52 53 158 0.10 52 Bohemia Manor 12 2 57 101 19 38 107 19 164 0.10 53 Lansdowne 10 2 67 122 26 40 96 30 166 0.10 54 Arundel 9 7 32 12 31 45 80 42 167 0.10 55 Chesapeake-AA 7 9 35 23 69 73 19 83 175 0.10 56 Blake 7 7 78 90 81 66 50 61 177 0.10 57 Damascus 8 6 64 91 73 63 64 54 181 0.10 58 Tuscarora 10 7 53 68 67 60 48 73 181 0.10 59 Thomas Johnson 7 7 48 36 66 51 51 81 183 0.10 60 Northern/Calv Ct 13 4 19 57 20 37 119 28 184 0.10 61 Perry Hall 4 11 71 31 98 69 16 100 185 0.10 62 Magruder 5 8 83 84 95 71 42 74 187 0.10 63 Edmondson 9 2 88 128 28 43 117 31 191 0.10 64 Richard Montgome 7 8 94 93 93 79 49 68 196 0.10 65 Leonardtown 6 6 43 40 56 58 68 78 204 0.10 66 Harford Tech 8 5 58 86 46 70 97 43 210 0.10 67 Seneca Valley 7 5 70 95 62 65 98 51 214 0.10 68 NorthEast AA 5 11 55 11 83 77 41 97 215 0.10 69 Blair 8 7 90 99 80 84 73 60 217 0.10 70 Middletown 8 6 47 76 60 78 81 63 222 0.10 71 Howard 10 6 31 44 51 61 108 55 224 0.10 72 Stephen Decatur 6 7 52 60 76 68 76 80 224 0.10 73 Paint Branch 6 7 85 96 86 82 77 67 226 0.10 74 Merganthaler-Mer 8 7 112 124 74 67 91 71 229 0.10 75 Forest Park 7 3 95 133 34 62 130 38 230 0.10 76 Reservoir 12 6 25 42 42 54 126 50 230 0.10 77 Western STES 7 6 87 111 77 76 79 76 231 0.10 78 Springbrook 4 10 106 88 117 99 38 96 233 0.10 79 Mount Hebron 4 13 76 33 129 91 12 131 234 0.10 80 Aberdeen 7 6 84 94 65 74 95 70 239 0.10 81 Chopticon 3 11 93 49 107 97 26 117 240 0.10 82 Poolesville 8 4 66 108 41 80 127 34 241 0.10 83 Linganore 6 10 56 25 79 64 93 86 243 0.10 84 JM Bennett 5 8 79 67 97 85 61 99 245 0.10 85 Walbrook 7 4 97 132 49 75 124 48 247 0.10 86 Patapsco 6 8 102 113 92 93 70 91 254 0.10 87 Francis Scott Ke 5 8 69 63 89 94 69 92 255 0.10 88 Long Reach 3 11 86 32 119 103 40 119 262 0.10 89 Randallstown 5 7 103 109 87 88 85 89 262 0.10 90 North East Cecil 7 5 81 107 61 81 125 59 265 0.10 91 Parkville 6 10 72 48 94 72 101 95 268 0.10 92 Dundalk 6 7 104 115 85 90 92 87 269 0.10 93 Sparrows Point 3 10 99 55 99 87 90 94 271 0.10 94 Southern AA 5 11 50 27 96 83 82 107 272 0.10 95 North County 2 13 74 6 101 109 56 108 273 0.10 96 Douglass 7 5 101 140 59 89 128 57 274 0.10 97 North Caroline 5 8 89 83 90 107 78 93 278 0.10 98 Brunswick 5 7 68 71 82 95 102 82 279 0.10 99 Patuxent 6 6 73 80 71 86 118 79 283 0.10 100 NorthWestern 4 7 125 125 91 92 103 90 285 0.10 101 Smithsburg 8 7 77 89 75 100 111 75 286 0.10 102 Dunbar 2 10 126 121 122 105 66 120 291 0.10 103 Cambridge SD 2 11 113 54 127 108 58 126 292 0.10 104 Hammond 2 12 91 38 131 112 54 130 296 0.10 105 W.E.B. DuBois 5 5 111 137 68 96 134 66 296 0.10 106 Digital Harbor 6 6 118 139 78 98 123 77 298 0.10 107 Catoctin 3 11 100 69 120 114 63 123 300 0.10 108 Kent County 2 10 108 51 108 104 83 113 300 0.10 109 Woodlawn 4 8 119 119 103 106 100 102 308 0.10 110 Elkton 5 8 98 103 100 102 109 98 309 0.10 111 Wilde Lake 3 12 65 24 118 101 88 122 311 0.10 112 Clarksburg 7 7 96 116 84 110 122 84 316 0.10 113 Great Mills 2 12 121 61 125 120 65 137 322 0.10 114 Meade 2 13 107 45 128 124 67 134 325 0.10 115 Wicomico 0 13 128 52 141 126 60 141 327 0.10 116 Carver 2 9 127 126 112 111 106 111 328 0.10 117 Glen Burnie 0 12 117 14 123 129 74 129 332 0.10 118 Calvert 2 12 123 70 130 123 75 135 333 0.10 119 Havre De Grace 3 12 114 98 135 116 86 133 335 0.10 120 Edgewood 3 10 115 97 121 115 105 118 338 0.10 121 NorthWest 1 11 129 92 133 125 89 125 339 0.10 122 Patterson 1 8 133 127 106 118 116 106 340 0.10 123 Rising Sun 4 8 105 106 102 113 129 101 343 0.10 124 Carver A&T 2 9 134 120 113 119 113 112 344 0.10 125 Frederick 2 12 82 64 136 122 87 136 345 0.10 126 Watkins Mill 3 9 116 100 111 117 120 110 347 0.10 127 Perryville 3 9 110 102 110 121 121 109 351 0.10 128 Oakland Mills 0 13 124 46 139 132 84 139 355 0.10 129 Kennedy 2 12 122 105 137 133 99 127 359 0.10 130 Rockville 3 8 120 112 104 127 133 103 363 0.10 131 Milford Mill 1 10 136 118 126 128 114 124 366 0.10 132 Lake Clifton 2 8 135 134 105 130 135 104 369 0.10 133 SouthWestern 1 9 141 130 116 131 131 116 378 0.10 134 Einstein 3 9 130 129 109 138 138 105 381 0.10 135 New Town 0 11 138 117 134 134 115 132 381 0.10 136 Southside Academ 1 9 139 135 115 136 136 115 387 0.10 137 North Hagerstown 2 10 109 85 124 135 132 121 388 0.10 138 Reginald Lewis 2 9 137 141 114 137 137 114 388 0.10 139 Wheaton 2 11 132 136 132 140 141 128 409 0.10 140 South Hagerstown 1 14 131 87 140 139 139 140 418 0.10 141 Northwood 1 12 140 131 138 141 140 138 419 0.10
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