boys probababilites for 11
2009 boys Connecticut CIAC
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Simsbury CCIAC 17 5 7 10 5 5 1 5 11 1.00
2 Wilton FCIAC 16 6 3 4 6 7 4 7 18 13.00
3 Amity Regional SCIAC 14 6 13 9 7 8 2 11 21 0.10
4 East Lyme ECIAC 18 3 10 38 13 4 9 9 22 0.10
5 Guilford SCIAC 14 6 18 20 15 13 3 12 28 0.10
6 Ridgefield FCIAC 20 2 1 7 2 3 24 2 29 32.00
7 Fairfield Prep SCIAC 17 6 4 1 1 1 28 1 30 16.00
8 Glastonbury CCIAC 15 6 9 11 10 9 26 6 41 0.10
9 St Joseph-Trumbu FCIAC 16 5 12 21 9 15 12 14 41 0.10
10 Brien McMahon-No FCIAC 10 8 21 8 22 22 5 22 49 0.10
11 Ledyard ECIAC 14 6 28 50 26 16 13 20 49 0.10
12 Xavier SCIAC 14 5 17 32 17 18 16 15 49 1.00
13 Cheshire HS SCIAC 14 6 8 6 12 6 41 8 55 2.00
14 Conard-West Hart CCIAC 11 8 26 23 29 21 10 24 55 0.10
15 Weston SWCIAC 13 9 19 24 27 20 7 30 57 0.10
16 Barlow-Redding SWCIAC 13 5 15 40 18 23 19 17 59 0.10
17 Daniel Hand-Madi SCIAC 9 9 25 22 31 27 8 25 60 0.10
18 Darien FCIAC 18 5 2 2 3 2 60 3 65 33.00
19 Newtown SWCIAC 17 4 6 29 8 12 44 10 66 0.10
20 Branford SCIAC 7 11 36 12 36 28 6 34 68 0.10
21 Greenwich HS FCIAC 10 8 16 5 16 17 33 19 69 0.10
22 Trumbull FCIAC 10 8 30 19 24 29 11 29 69 0.10
23 New Fairfield SWCIAC 20 2 5 31 4 10 57 4 71 1.00
24 Norwich Free Aca ECIAC 9 9 34 43 42 25 14 32 71 0.10
25 Southington CCIAC 12 6 22 34 21 26 25 21 72 0.10
26 Fairfield-Ludlow FCIAC 9 9 23 17 32 33 15 33 81 0.10
27 New Milford SWCIAC 14 6 14 25 14 14 51 16 81 0.10
28 Avon HS NWCIAC 13 5 29 54 28 24 34 26 84 0.10
29 Granby NWCIAC 15 3 27 60 19 19 48 18 85 0.10
30 New Canaan FCIAC 12 8 11 3 11 11 63 13 87 1.00
31 Immaculate Danbu SWCIAC 10 7 31 37 25 32 30 31 93 0.10
32 Brookfield SWCIAC 8 10 37 28 33 39 22 35 96 0.10
33 Pomperaug SWCIAC 6 11 49 27 43 41 17 45 103 0.10
34 Staples-Westport FCIAC 10 8 20 15 23 30 47 28 105 0.10
35 Suffield HS NWCIAC 9 9 40 53 48 37 23 46 106 0.10
36 Somers NWCIAC 11 8 35 56 38 34 32 42 108 0.10
37 Fairfield-Warde FCIAC 5 11 38 16 45 45 20 48 113 0.10
38 Hall-West Hartfo CCIAC 8 9 33 36 37 40 35 39 114 0.10
39 Norwalk FCIAC 4 12 48 14 47 49 18 54 121 0.10
40 Westhill FCIAC 12 6 24 26 20 31 67 23 121 0.10
41 Northwest Cathol Indep 6 10 39 39 49 44 29 50 123 0.10
42 South Windsor CCIAC 9 8 41 52 35 42 46 37 125 0.10
43 Morgan-Clinton Shore 13 5 32 68 30 35 64 27 126 0.10
44 Waterford ECIAC 9 8 51 66 44 38 49 40 127 0.10
45 Fitch-Groton ECIAC 6 10 63 57 54 43 38 47 128 0.10
46 Stonington ECIAC 10 8 47 65 40 36 56 38 130 0.10
47 Ellington NWCIAC 7 10 50 62 53 50 37 52 139 0.10
48 Notre Dame-West SCIAC 9 8 42 61 34 48 59 36 143 0.10
49 Farmington Indep 7 10 45 44 46 46 61 41 148 0.10
50 Danbury FCIAC 3 13 44 18 66 54 31 68 153 0.10
51 Newington CCIAC 3 13 58 35 71 57 27 70 154 0.10
52 Trinity Catholic FCIAC 1 14 64 13 70 62 21 71 154 0.10
53 Stamford FCIAC 6 11 43 33 39 51 62 43 156 0.10
54 Old Lyme Shore 5 10 53 55 55 52 50 55 157 0.10
55 Shelton SCIAC 4 12 55 42 60 59 40 60 159 0.10
56 Masuk-Monroe SWCIAC 8 10 46 48 41 47 71 44 162 0.10
57 Woodstock Academ ECIAC 5 11 68 64 65 53 54 56 163 0.10
58 Tolland NWCIAC 4 11 56 59 69 58 43 66 167 0.10
59 Bethel SWCIAC 4 12 61 47 63 63 42 64 169 0.10
60 Notre Dame-Fairf SWCIAC 3 13 65 46 67 65 36 69 170 0.10
61 Hamden SCIAC 5 11 52 49 57 55 53 63 171 0.10
62 Old Saybrook Shore 8 9 57 71 50 61 65 49 175 0.10
63 Saint Bernard ECIAC 8 9 60 72 51 56 68 51 175 0.10
64 North Haven SCIAC 6 10 62 63 52 60 66 53 179 0.10
65 Rockville CCIAC 5 11 59 58 59 64 58 58 180 0.10
66 Windsor CCIAC 1 15 69 45 77 67 39 76 182 0.10
67 Stratford SWCIAC 4 12 67 51 64 69 52 65 186 0.10
68 Bunnell-Stratfor SWCIAC 1 15 72 41 74 70 45 75 190 0.10
69 Bacon Academy ECIAC 7 10 66 74 56 66 69 57 192 0.10
70 Housatonic Valle Indep 6 10 54 67 58 68 70 59 197 0.10
71 Bridgeport Centr FCIAC 0 13 76 30 72 71 55 72 198 0.10
72 Valley Regional Shore 6 10 70 77 61 73 73 61 207 0.10
73 Wheeler-No Stoni ECIAC 6 10 73 78 62 72 74 62 208 0.10
74 Lewis Mills-Burl Indep 5 11 71 75 68 74 76 67 217 0.10
75 West Haven SCIAC 3 13 75 69 73 75 72 73 220 0.10
76 East Catholic Indep 0 16 77 70 78 77 75 78 230 0.10
77 Norwich Tech Indep 0 13 78 76 75 78 78 74 230 0.10
78 Wilbur Cross SCIAC 2 14 74 73 76 76 77 77 230 0.10
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