Region = VA    Nationl          
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Greg Beer             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.4771881    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 H McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 3-10, 77.3)     8-10   
 313 A Annandale              VA    Patriot (12- 4, 89.5)     7-12   
 317 A Madison                VA    Liberty (11- 3, 94.2)    11-17   
 320 H Thos Jefferson         VA    Liberty ( 4-10, 82.2)     5- 9   
 324 H Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl (10- 5, 82.7)     5- 7   
 330 H Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl (11- 6, 83.5)     7- 8   
 403 H Colonial Forge         VA    Comw    (10- 5, 93.6)     7-11   
 414 A Falls Church           VA    Nationl ( 7- 8, 79.0)     7- 8   
 422 H Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 0-12, 61.3)    15- 2   
 423 A Edison                 VA    Nationl ( 4- 8, 76.2)     8- 4   
 425 A South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 5- 7, 84.9)     3- 7   
 425 N Dominion HS            VA    Dulles  (11- 7, 93.5)    10- 6   
 427 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 1-11, 66.3)    19- 8   
 428 A Chantilly              VA    Concord (16- 3, 94.9)     5-14   
 501 H Edison                 VA    Nationl ( 4- 8, 76.2)     8- 3   
 505 N Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl (11- 6, 83.5)     8- 9   
 512 A West Springfield       VA    Patriot (14- 4, 93.1)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H McLean                  8-10      -2     3    --    -5.39
   313 A Annandale               7-12      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   317 A Madison                11-17      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   320 H Thos Jefferson          5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.49
   324 H Washington-Lee          5- 7      -2    -1          -0.04
   330 H Mount Vernon            7- 8      -1    -2           1.84
   403 H Colonial Forge          7-11      -4   -12          n/a  
   414 A Falls Church            7- 8      -1     0          -1.05
   422 H Wakefield HS           15- 2      13    19           0.00
   423 A Edison                  8- 4       4     2           1.15
   425 A South Lakes             3- 7      -4    -5           1.85
   425 N Dominion HS            10- 6       4   -13          n/a  
   427 A J.E.B. Stuart          19- 8      11    12           0.00
   428 A Chantilly               5-14      -9   -15           1.00
   501 H Edison                  8- 3       5     4           0.48
   505 N Mount Vernon            8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.68
   512 A West Springfield        5-15     -10   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H McLean                  8-10      -2     3    --    -5.39
   320 H Thos Jefferson          5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Colonial Forge          7-11      -4   -12    +++        
   425 N Dominion HS            10- 6       4   -13    +++        
   313 A Annandale               7-12      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   317 A Madison                11-17      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   505 N Mount Vernon            8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.86 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.37 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
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